Quote:
Originally Posted by Schadenfred
Earlier hand I opened with AQo from ep, bet heads-up on a Axx board, c/c turn, and c/r river (non-scary board) against villain I thought would fold on turn against two barrels. Was confident that he had an underpair or weaker ace; was correct.
Sorry I don't understand this at all. You set up a turn/river CR bluff with what you were sure was the best hand why exactly? I understand turning a medium strength hand into a bluff, but that's a little bit of a bizarre spot if you bet everything.
---
For the hand
First of all raise the turn. If he has QQ or something he's not going to put much more $$ in the pot. You have a concealed monster and you should be trying to get value from a slowplayed king, which will absolutely pay you off. IMO you're missing huge value.
Why do you need bet sizing flexibility on the river? Are you planning on turning the underfull into a bluff? I really hope not.
1) Ax should not be in his value range. His value range could be 55, good kings, AK obviously, quad kings. He doesn't have a big value range. AQ as a check raise should be turning a medium strength hand into a bluff. CR AQ on the river for value makes no sense.
2) Shouldn't be very often. I guess you could have Adxd but I think with Ax he should call. QQ-TT I guess he could bluff raise, but what does he think folds? He's going to fold your weak aces? He should expect you to never fold a king here, so I think he mostly c/c those hands.
I dunno, unless you have some crazy reads I think it's unlikely he's turning TT-QQ or Ax into a bluff.
3) I guess it is, although you'd often bet that on the flop. It's sort of irrelevant because any of this value hands BEATS A DIAMOND DRAW. So if he has QQ and he puts you on diamonds (unless it's Adxd) he doesn't need to raise. If he has like JTs I guess he could try to CR you off of a draw, but in that case why not just bet because a lot of players just check back aces, pp's etc and he loses.
4) Do you think he stacks KQ here? I wouldn't raise back because you fold all his bluffs, he never folds a full house, and I don't think he does this with a hand like KJ because what worse hands are you calling with?
5) It's such a weird line that it looks kinda like AA or maybe slowplayed 55 here. So I really wonder if you're good just because of the reasons I listed. It makes no sense for him to CR good aces or medium pp's here.
So it really looks like AA, AK, KK, or MAYBE 55 but 55 might not even take this line.
You're getting like 2.6-1 so you only have to bet good 27% of the time. Vs an aggro villain (if he's really aggro) I guess I call here and say "You just hit aces full?" and expect to hear "you're good" or "yeah, I have AA."