Quote:
Originally Posted by adonson
Is the equity of the gut-shot straight draw too small to continue with a barrel on the turn? A tight player makes a bad error, rebuys, and immediately straddles—doesn’t that suggest someone on tilt enough of the time to continue?
You're not giving enough respect for how bad this board is for you, how good it is for the button, and how dynamic the turn is. I ran this one in a heads up solve with custom ranges and I believe flop was a range bet, turn was a range check. Since it is multiway I am guessing flop would not still be a range bet, but I would guess turn would still be a range check.
You might not have 88/77 pure here, definitely shouldn't have 87s pure, 55 or A7s. Meanwhile villain has all the 96s, 64s, 88, 77, 55, 75s, A7s through maybe 47s. These all beat most of the the top of your range which includes 99-AA, a full 36 combos, plus it's beating all your bluffs, and you only have slivers of better hands. So yes, while you have a vulnerable overpair and the added equity of a gutter is nice, yeah, I think this is a range check.