88 vs small squeeze from a tilted lag
Join Date: Mar 2011
Posts: 14
Hi all
I was playing yesterday in a game at my usual local club, blinds 2/4€, min 100€ buy in (most players have bigger stacks, between 300 and 1000+).
Level is very disparate, with one or 2 solid tag players, a bunch of calling stations, and a few lags.
I had been playing for 2 hours, and was doing ok, up from 300 to 650. That day action was particularly loose, and even if generally i am not that tight my image at that moment was good, i had been playing few hands, and showing nuts only or almost.
I raise pocket 8s from middle position to 18 (very standard for this table where most raises pf are between 18 and 28). As i have a good image i expect to get a minimum of respect, and keep the pot pf to a reasonable size as opposed to a limp where i would get 80% of the time someone raising an unreasonable amount with trash.
Get called by Villain 1, next to my left, stack ~200, a calling station i have been playing with several times before. His range here is probably any pair (including premiums he tends to slowplay), any ace, any broadway, almost any suited connectors, and certainly a few additional suited or connected trash hands. This guy is very loose preflop but not reckless though.
Bet is also called by Villain 2 on the button, i have less insights on him, but from previous action he seems very loose passive too, probably a similar range than Villain 1. He has a bit less than 200 too.
SB folds, then Villain 3 on BB goes all in for ~60 more. The BB is another player i know a bit from previous games. He is very lag, likes to squeeze, and at this moment obviously on tilt because he just lost a big pot and is short stack. He would certainly do that with any pair, almost any ace or broadway, a lot of connectors and trash.
Hero??
I jammed, but wonder if anyone would advocate it is a mistake.
Thanks a lot for your comments
Join Date: Aug 2009
Posts: 5,515
seems fine. I probably do the same. So much dead money in the pot from the other two players, the all in guy can easily be really light here and flatting is not an option as we hate life if we get flatted behind or worse they ship with overs.
Join Date: Mar 2011
Posts: 14
that was my analysis.
However from my short experience, i noticed that in these spots you very often get calls from the other villains with mediocre hands, attracted like fishes by the light of the big pot.
And if called twice with a large range including a lot of overcards, my 88 is not doing that good. I put a few ranges in pokerstove and it seems i have 24 to 28% equity against 3 players, so it is thin value if i have little fold equity. And maybe EV- if i overestimate their calling range in the first place.