First of all, I just want to throw out that I find it absolutely ridiculous that anyone would be scared to play this hand because of a sad sack big blind sitting with $80 in front of him. Most players sitting with $80 in front of them are fun players or degenerate gamblers who are well on their way to going home with nothing, or they are a busto player with a small bankroll. Either way, I'm very happy to get in hands with them until eventually they leave with nothing. If the big blind was the raiser, then there are implied odds considerations to be made, but in this hand we'd be the raiser and unless he is a super rare unicorn of a player that knows how to utilize his short stack in a somewhat optimal fashion then he's not a concern whatsoever.
Quote:
Originally Posted by crackedaa
I don't get why you're so confident, we make it 10 we get 5 calls including BB who would have a pot behind otf. We make it 15-20 and still get 3-4 calls, probably including shorty who's 'defending his blind'.
We take a flop with 7 hi, dominated hand, solid 15-20% equity, we have an opponent who's more or less forced to stack off with any piece of the board and have an SPR of 3-5 against the rest of the table. These limp/calling-any-playable-hand 1/3 guys aren't exactly known for laying down stuff like top pair at this SPR. I salute those who make this winning while paying obscene 1/3 rake. I'm playing professionally for years now and I don't think I could win at this spot unless 1 or 2 of the limpcallers are particularly bad. At 250bb+ and without BB being so short I could get behind isoing, but this is just spew unless you happened to be the best to ever do it at 1/3.
Just because someone is supposed to be worse at poker doesn't make a spot automatically winning. You have to find the right exploit to take advantage. You can't tag them as mouthbreathers or whatever and straight take their money. Here opponents' main mistake is putting in to much money passively with mediocre hands. Creating a small SPR mw spot while having a pretty but low equity hand is the exact opposite of the right exploit. At 100bb you just need to make better hands and pile in the chips. It's not fun and doesn't make you feel very smart, but it's what it is. Deepstacked you should pressure their disproportionate amount of bluffcatchers, but here they just won't fold enough.
Who cares if we get 4 calls? We can get 8 calls for all I care. You do realize the more multiway it goes the less times we need to win the pot postflop right? Surely you are accustomed to playing extremely multiway pots if you've been playing live poker professionally for years. Navigating multiway pots is somewhat unique to live poker, but certainly very critical.
It's not just skill that is an advantage in our favor. We will also have advantages in initiative and most likely position (at worse will have 2nd best position). So we have all that in our favor and if the other players are playing a wide range of hands then hand strength of a low suited gapper is hardly even a weakness.
And let's not pretend that your average 1/3 player's only weak spot is that they can't fold. These players have more leaks than a truck stop condom. They call when they shouldn't. They fold when they shouldn't. They bet when they shouldn't. They play their hands too face up. They bet into 3 people for 3 streets with an underpair (example from a pot I won last session)...you name it, and they'll do it. Sure, if you have some ridiculous rake then that is a clear consideration to play tighter but in your average live low stakes games where winrates are astronomical (relative to online) then this is a very clear spot to play (for the record I play in no rake games, but have played in countless normal raked games over the years as well) .
Would I rather have AQ sooted in the CO? Of course, but I have 75 sooted in the CO instead so my only consideration is whether or not 75 sooted is a profitable play here and in my estimation it most clearly is.
I'd also just mention that even the "resident nit" of the forums GG (whose results are quite respectable) posted that he would play this hand (of course not as a raise given his limp-centric strategy), and if I was a player that normally would not play this hand, I would spend some time diving in to really figure out where the disconnect is.