Quote:
Originally Posted by TimeBomb
I think utg+1 will play pretty straightforward if we flat the 1k with no sidepot. I think on this flop we can pretty confidently cfold this flop.
But the flop isn't always going to be this one. What about when it's 554, 943 with a fd, anything but Jxx?
I don't know hero or utg+1, but it's very possible utg+1 will think hero is just gambling with the lighter side of his 3b iso range when he flats the 750 more at such a good price. And so he will 5b his entire range himself... Or if he's nittier than that (won't 5b his AK in an amazing spot to/won't even consider merging his TT and JJ/will call and evaluate with his QQ even though deep down he knows it's good), he will at least now 5b his KK, which is a pretty big part of his range ime.
So we get punished a decent amount when we flat, in that we put in 1k and don't even get to see the flop. And when utg+1 just flats behind us, we have the problem of being at the top of our range and still not happy flopping an overpair. And say UTG+1 checks back the 554 flop with QQ. What happens when the turn is anything < J? Do we correctly check/fold? Do we check and allow AK to see yet another free card?
Also, what about the other dudes? The first guy is going to have to put 750 more in to win 3500, and the next guy 750 more to win 4250 ---> they are calling too. We are going to have to bluff catch them when they flop something with a lot of equity. And we are going to be crushed plenty when we do (aside from the times they absolutely mash the flop, UTG+1 is gonna say **** it and overcall with his QQ a lot too). I mean the whole reason Op 5bet in the first place is because he did not want to take a flop 5 ways, first to act post flop, with a death hand for a huge bloated pot and a spr of < 1.
It's all too messy imo. Our overpair rio is huge. Can't flat, can't 5b. Let it go. Make it 110-160 next time...