Quote:
Originally Posted by PIK4CHU
I guess my line of thinking was way different than others here. I was imagining that this was easily a “feeler” raise with AK, KT, or A2cc. It’s also possible that he floated the flop with something like A5cc and is preparing a weird bluff. I also don’t know how I’d feel about K and Q rivers since KQ could be in his range as well. Maybe I was even way ahead of 22?
However it appears that most of you predicted that this is only ever a straight. Could one of you elaborate on why this is a straight more often than not?
In the end, I did call, the 6d came on the river, I checked, he bet $425 fairly quickly. Hero?
Line and sizing make it real tough to imagine this is air - the fact the overcalling station was in the BB makes this more value than any semi-bluff type thing (like NFD), but that fact also might have him calling more AcX type hands pre that MIGHT do this...he might even have some QQ/KK at some frequency, but overall that's just low freq stuff that mostly cancel out.
Not helping, is that AT/T9s are likely 100% calls pre and extremely high frequency flop calls + turn raises + smallish bet otr.
His range is likely very much what you imagine it to be, but less bluffy than I think
you think.
That said, I mean, you're likely losing, but if you range him as having a good amount of worse for value and bluffs then flick.
I think betting less otf and less ott would have been a nicer way to play your range here.