Villain is in UTG+2 with about $500. Been playing with him for 4 hours. He limps low to medium suited aces (even ATs), suited Broadways, and offsuit Broadways from pretty much everywhere. He open raises infrequently and when he does it's 4x. He lost a big hand recently and seems like he could be starting to tilt. Might call raises a little too often postflop. I haven't seen him 2 or 3 barrel yet.
BB after 4 hours and many many opportunities has had no squeeze range. Has $700 ish.
Hero is in the SB with $1000 and AKo. I have a very tight "has it" image despite the fact that I've been squeezing very light ip and oop as there's multiple players who will flat any offsuit Broadway to see a flop but fold them to a big three bet. I'm getting a lot of respect and seeing very few flops when I squeeze or bomb raise limpers.
OTTH
Pre-flop
Villain raises to $35
Folds to hero in SB who calls $35 with AsKh
BB folds
Here it goes, my thought on pre was this was a situation for a once in a blue moon flat in the SB. Suited I'd probably 3-bet still, offsuit I felt was a flat. The open was really large for him. He flats mostly and the opens I've seen were 4x. 7x got my alarm bells ringing. I put him on a polarized range that was either very strong or tilt spew. Either way I didn't want him to fold his tilts because I know he can fold a lot to 3-bet and leave me with playing in a 3-4ish spr flop with his monsters against AKo. BB doesn't have a squeeze button and I think he's telegraphing a fold. Plus I think the meta of me showing up with AK after flatting would be good as I'm squeezing a lot and been trying out more ip flats this session.
Flop and turn, he was blasting away big and although there's only 1 combo of AA I was just gonna let him keep tilting off if that's what was happening. Maaaybe he'd stack off with AQ or AJ if I raised, I know he has trouble laying down top pair, but if he's blasting away with worse than that I want to let him.
River I'm between a $125-$150 donk bet or a check/call anything to just keep giving him rope. He's got only a little more than pot left behind.
I understand the logic but this is a slam dunk 3! pre. If you’re going to mix it up and trap I’d do it with AA and KK considering that’s what everyone thinks you have when you 3! and they won’t expect it to be in your range when you flat. It’s also not too vulnerable heads up and you can win a huge pot by letting villain catch up.
AP c/r River. Realistically, you’re ahead of significantly more combos than you’re losing to and if A10+ bets this river, Villains likely to pay c/r, out of frustration if anything
I understand the logic but this is a slam dunk 3! pre
Some people have sizings that correlate to hand strength, especially pre when their normal is 4x and now they are going 7x (Which often indicates TT-QQ)
I don't mind flat pre but what is this small pigeon pot on the river my dude. bump it up at literally any point in this hand postflop and get the stack in on the next street. If we're flatting pre with AK it's to gii on an ace high unconnected board vs continuation bets. We've set the trap, the villain has stepped right into it, and yet we aren't closing the trap. Why isn't our trap closed?
if this river somehow checks through and we scoop $375 instead of $1k it's a disaster.
What I'm getting from this is "3-bet pre all day, maybe tiny % flat, but dear God play for stacks now that you have the effective nuts".
I had a feeling I FPS'd myself here. Thanks for the feedback guys.
Spoiler:
I check with intention of calling. Villain checks back throwing his hand up and says "well what do you got". Me: "AK". Villain mucks muttering about my kicker. I drag a medium pot and think "I'm happy I won but I should've tried to make this way bigger".