Quote:
Originally Posted by JB Clark
i have raise folded so much that he would not want to lose me with a premium so lets take JJ+ completely out of his range
That's a dangerous assumption. Part of what maniacs like about bluffing with their big bets, is they get players so tilted that they can get easy payoffs when they have a hand. He might sometimes play a premium differently, but I would not take it out of range.
In the meantime, think of it like a math problem. He raised more than 16 times your bet. He needs you to fold 87% of the time of so to show a profit. That means you can merrily fold all but your best hands here and still kill him. And if you know he will always 3 bet, you can open fewer hands and kill him more.
That is why most will say fold. You actually want to reinforce his behaviour with this hand. Then you want to cut down the hands you open with, turning some into folds and others limps, and punish him when you get a big hand.
I mean, yeah, KQ may be ahead of his range. But you can't really call for 1/4 of your stack when you will whiff most flops. So your alternative is to shove, and lay a guy who doesn't like folding interesting odds when he knows you are on tilt and has a deep stack?
KQ is still behind all pairs and all aces. It will be behind most of the probably depressingly wide range he talks himself into a call with. And not far ahead of others. And you've only put in $15. Tighten up and wait for him.
Last edited by Nevyn; 06-13-2017 at 05:05 PM.