Quote:
Originally Posted by Ragequit99
Pro Bono, what range are you putting preflop raiser on when he 5x it UTG after a few orbits of only l/c?
In my experience V's PFR range Is too tight and too strong for TT to 3bet for value (expecting to be called by more worse hands than better hands). Maybe V has 88+ AJ+ KQ, you'll get some folds but mostly from the hands you beat. You end up isolating yourself against a range of bigger pairs over cards. You won't know which V has postflop till you bet a load more chips and he calls.
That means you're turning TT, the 5th best starting hand, into a bluff against a deep stacked fish because you want to isolate a short stacked fish. You're risking losing $160 to win tonly a little more. If you flat you risk only $25 for chance to flop a set, a straight, a pair plus straight draw, something you can possibly stack a player with a range containing greater than normal % big pairs and win $500+.
Your risk and your opportunity cost are both high when you 3bet TT here. Flat is much better.
I never said that flatting is bad and 3betting is the only way to approach this hand. I only wanted to point out, that there is a 2nd scenario that I would consider.
3betting allows us to control the hand a bit more and like never lose to a worse hand from UTG. If we post this hand from UTGs perspective with JJ,QQ,AQ or AK .. We will get a lot of people to tell us that we should fold these hands in this scenario. 4 betting is a bad option with anything but AA,KK and on the same hand, he can be outplayed on a lot of boards by Hero when he has JJ, QQ.
Obv. I would rather 3bet if we were deeper, because then it`s easy to get folds from JJ,QQ .. I think we can get him to fold JJ on a lot of runouts and he will play his hand faceup anyway.
It`s a bit weird, because we are (kinda) semi-bluffing against UTG and value raising vs UTG+1 .. I just think that UTG is only comfortable of stacking off vs us with AA,KK and we can outplay all his other holdings while UTG+1 being in the middle of this makes us look less bluffy.
But yeah .. There is no need for that play and flat calling pre is more than fine. It`s just not as bad as this the likeable poster "Jonny-on-the-spot" thinks it is ..