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2/5: Should I just avoid this high-variance, slightly +EV spot? (HH + general theory) 2/5: Should I just avoid this high-variance, slightly +EV spot? (HH + general theory)

07-22-2016 , 02:22 PM
Pre: calling for sure. Flop, perfect raise size, looks a lot like a value raise to GII by the river which was your plan. When he calls though, I think you have to slow down and check back as previously stated.

Consider you do ck turn, how interesting does that river 5 look to you? Can you rep Ac3c with a huge bet or raise if you put him on QQ? I think if he leads the river, and you jam thinking 2 pair is good, he might fold the best hand w/ 4 to a strt on board, but it's tough to say for sure.
2/5: Should I just avoid this high-variance, slightly +EV spot? (HH + general theory) Quote
07-26-2016 , 03:24 AM
3) "Always go for any +EV Spot" is one of the dumbest advices I have ever heard. Who ****ing cares about a tiny +EV Gamble in a high variance spot? This is a 100bb buy in Game and we have 300 bb .. We fold and wait for good spots to play with the fish, it`s way more valueable to be 300bb deep with some fish than winning 25$ in theory in a high variance spot. Life Poker is so easy and the best players aren`t the fancy ones - the best players are the ones that can stick to simple principles in every hand: A) Exploit the fish, B) b/f with top pair type of hands is like never bad, C) nitting it up is better than counting on people to be able to lay down hands, D) a raise OTT or OTR is like always a hand that beats a one pair and .. and so on. It`s easy [/QUOTE]

Well Ill admit, capped games with a really deep fish might be a valid reason to pass up a slightly plus ev spot in a cash game. And if someone explains those precise facts that they are in a game where they cannot buy back in enough to cover the fish in the game, then ok.

So yes, there is always the exception.

However, anyone that thinks about passing up ev (i.e. money) regularly in cash games, does not understand poker.
2/5: Should I just avoid this high-variance, slightly +EV spot? (HH + general theory) Quote
07-26-2016 , 03:28 AM
[QUOTE=BadlyBeaten;50459652]No, it's not; it's stupid. There is a VERY large amount of variance INHERENT in the game; you can't escape it. If you spend your time at the table trying, you won't win.

If you have an overlay, you should take it. Period. It doesn't matter who you are playing against; if you have an overlay against Phil Ivey, TAKE IT.


+1
2/5: Should I just avoid this high-variance, slightly +EV spot? (HH + general theory) Quote

      
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