Quote:
Originally Posted by Olaff
Good, bad? Why?
There's a few reasons I don't like it.
1. If he doesn't fold and you have to bet the river you'll be drawing to a maximum of 8 outs. There's no card that can come on the turn that gives you more outs.
2. You might be drawing dead to runner-runner to win the pot or runner-runner to tie. Your draw isn't to the nuts. Nobody is calling with any second-best draws. It's not like you have 77 and someone could be calling with 33.
3. I don't hate the bluff but I don't understand the why. Just because it's been a few hours. Surely there have been better spots. Otherwise I think patience is best.
4. Given your (roughly) 16% percent chance of hitting your draw on the turn you're not even getting odds to draw needing to have a 27% chance of winning to call a 30 dollar bet.