Raise to 75-80. I think any more is excessive and may scare villains way if they have one pair or a draw. Plus ull have a pot sized bet left on river (and calling station villains are more likely to call river when they call flop and turn and pot is big). U have to raise turn to get value and charge hands to outdraw u, there are too many bad rivers. Only KJ and j9 beat u but u are way ahead wayyyy more often. Call a shove if someone repops it. Against competent or nitty players u may often have to flat here.
I'm cool with preflop, although typically I'd have to raise closer to $20+ to limit the field. There's also no harm in overlimping this at super loose tables, imo.
Nice check back on the flop. Better hands are unlikely to fold, worse hands are unlikely to call, we're 3way.
There's a bunch of two pair / draws out there, and only a couple reasonable hands we're losing to (and against those we've got outs). I'm playing for stacks now. I'd raise to $100+ which will set up an easy river shove. I'm probably never folding.
At 100 bb? With 40% of our stack in there already?
Well it's 30% and I typically consider being committed around 25%, so I feel like its close, I threw in some numbers into stove but wanted to hear other opinions
very, very unlikely you're behind to a better set. since that's the case, you have about a 23 percent chance to hit a boat, so you only have to be good on the turn 37 percent of the time. i think you probably are -- you're ahead of AQ, AT and 88 and ahead of the occasional shove vs. a heart draw. yeah, you're behind a good amount, too, but not enough to fold here.... it's possible i'm underestimating the amount of the time your villain would play AA and QQ in this way, but i don't think so....
I'd def be putting in a raise here, probably around 70-80, looking to get the rest in OTR as long as a heart or a straight card doesn't come in. Puke/fold when a heart AND strt card hits the river and he leads into us for a PSB.
An interesting question here is are we calling V's shove OTT? I think we have to because his shoving range most likely has some two pairs in there along with the straight and even in the worst case scenario it would be around $190 to win $440 (approx) and we'd have 10 outs.