Hero: new to table, known by villain as a winning player. $265, in MP with AQ

several folds, hero opens to $15.

Villain calls. Has hero covered. MABG. Semi competent. Talks awful "live player" strat based on nonsense. Loose pf with limps and flats. Range here's probably any PP, SC, SG, Broadways, even AKs. Should 3-bet KK+, maybe QQ, though I think I've seen him flat with monsters, but not to certain. I've played maybe 7 hrs with him previously. Don't recall him being aggressive postflop either, but he's not passive either, just in the middle. Don't recall how often he bluffs.

all fold, including blinds, hand goes HU.

Flop ($29 after rake), AQT

Hero bets $20, call

Turn ($69) AQT 9

Hero bets $40, Villain thinks for few seconds and goes AI ($190 eff)

I ruled out sets except 99, thinking most would raise OTF given the texture. At first I thought the turn gave him a straight, but that would mean he called with a J8 gutshot. Maybe there's a turned 2p, or other 2 pairs that got frightened OTT. There could be all sorts of pairs + draws as well? How often does this strong move line up with villain's actual holdings? I'd like a critique on my double barrel as well. (Though I think we can't afford to give a free card)

Call

Nobody folds this irl...

Played fine now get it in

Do you think villain knows this flop hit your range pretty hard? If you were in his shoes and you caught two pair on turn would you shove? I wouldn't. I mean v could play k 10 like this or j 8 of hearts. V could play ace j this way. The only thing that makes me think v is on a draw is maybe a timing tell. V only thought for a few seconds and shoved. Then again it's a really wet board: hence a good spot to jam. Idn people do funny stuff at this level.

You only have 35 in the pot I probably just fold and move on and try to get more info on v for future hands. If he's got 2 pair he has to know he's either way ahead or way behind. I almost think we can take two pair out of his range since we have blockers to top two.

I think it's a fold.

Almost always.

Your hand is strong enough that you don't need to lead. E.g. you could c/r flop. I rarely lead the flop OOP.

Looking at the turn in isolation, I think leading is fine. If someone raises you there he usually has the goods; it's just a matter of whether his "goods" are good.

AP, it's a very weird line, and I think it's a process of elimination. E.g. doubtful he actually gets here with AT or A9? It seems to be a continuation from the flop, rather than a re-evaluation. Figure out what range he has when he peels OTF and use that. Probably WBSA and release?

TT J9hh K9hh QJcc JTcc AJ

Probably a call due to the large number of possible hands relative to the ones that actually have you beat. You're beat maybe 1 time in 4?

Call.

More hands don't beat you than do.

I would expect his most likely holding to be a KJ that just called on the flop. There is enough other stuff that you need to call due to pot odds, but I don't think this is a fist-pump situation.

I'm cool with preflop, even though it's always a little tricky deciding what the best raise size is. With this stack, you could argue for $25 to make stacking off postflop easier (although that might be pushing it at some tables).

SPR is 8 on the flop and we have top two on a drawy board. There's a crapload of action killers on the turn. And while we don't have the nuts, there's probably only one nuttish hand out there (as AA/QQ and perhaps TT might lean towards reraising preflop), plus there are hands that might consider themselves nuttish that we are ahead of (AT/QT, pair + draw, etc.). So I would start hammering this flop in an effort to get in big money for a scare card comes. I'd plan for PSB/PSB/shove for a non-horrible run-out. Not really a fan of our smallish 2/3 PSB.

Also not a fan of our turn sizing either, as this combined with our weak flop bet leaves us with more than a PSB for the river. I think we should plan for playing for stacks (even though we won't always be ahead) by the river, and these small bets aren't doing that.

J8 got there on the turn but I'm guessing that might be a little unlikely of hand. For me, we're simply ahead of enough worse made hands / good pair + draw hands to fold, so I'd probably call (although I know I'm beat a lot too). The key for me is to get in far more on the flop and turn to make a call much easier, imo.

GcluelessNLnoobG