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2/2 - 3b pot with AJs 2/2 - 3b pot with AJs

01-24-2023 , 09:00 AM
Hi guys

I played this hand in a casino in Holland. Game is 2/2 400 max. Villian in this hand seems the only somewhat competent at the table, he used good sizings and showed down decent hands. Only spew I saw from him was that he 4b AJo vs a passive player, but maybe he had more info on him since I don't play here a lot.

Effective stacks +- 580
Villian opens 12 utg+2, co calls, btn calls, Hero 3b 70 from SB, villian calls, rest folds

Flop Js5d4s pot 164
Hero bets 54
Villian calls

Turn Js5d2s4s pot 272
Hero checks
Villian bets 60
Hero calls

River Js5d2s4sAh pot 392
Hero checks
Villian all in for +-400

Preflop: seems like a good squeeze spot

Flop: standard cbet on this flop for value, would almost always cbet this flop with my range

Turn: I think villian has way more flushes than me in this spot and I don't want to get check raised here. That's why I check. Seems like a weird bet from villian, 1/5 pot? Sizing to have a pot sized bet on the river or just a weird sizing with a mediocre hand? I thought this sizing would not be used with a made flush.

River: will post after

Thanks for your advice guys!
2/2 - 3b pot with AJs Quote
01-24-2023 , 02:30 PM
Preflop, I'm not expert in picking squeeze plays so I will trust your read it's a good spot. After the call, Villain will prob have pairs 77+, AJs+, AQo+, maybe some KQs and lighter stuff.

Flop is pretty damn good for us if we can discount QQ+ so I get your downbet to earn calls from PPs below the J. Maybe AK/AQ peels too.

Without the flush, shifting to a bluff catching mode is fine, but that means a good player is going to mix in some bluffs (true for this opponent?)
As such, we would want to consider which of our hands that get to the river should be defended and which folded. As top two is among the strongest, this looks like a call. And yeah, you sometimes get owned by a flush (or like 33, yuck)

Last edited by Man of Means; 01-24-2023 at 02:36 PM.
2/2 - 3b pot with AJs Quote
01-24-2023 , 03:34 PM
What suits do you hold. Vs population, it's probably a fold, but if you don't have the As, it's probably a call IMO.
2/2 - 3b pot with AJs Quote
01-24-2023 , 08:37 PM
Grim looking spot at first glance, but I think it is a fairly easy fold. There are two realistic hand classes on this runout that could bluff river, small pps and random broadways. Small pps should fold pre, then I don't like stabbing them ott, but I guess for this sizing it's possible. Otr river a hi gets there so their sdv is gone, and they could bluff. KT, KQ, QT, especially with no bdfd are very unlikely to float the flop just to bluff on these runouts. Anyway you're probably not playing some sick GTO bot at 2/2, so he won't have enough bluffs.
2/2 - 3b pot with AJs Quote

      
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