[LOW] 2/2 - 3b pot with AJs
Join Date: Aug 2019
Posts: 33
Hi guys
I played this hand in a casino in Holland. Game is 2/2 400 max. Villian in this hand seems the only somewhat competent at the table, he used good sizings and showed down decent hands. Only spew I saw from him was that he 4b AJo vs a passive player, but maybe he had more info on him since I don't play here a lot.
Effective stacks +- 580
Villian opens 12 utg+2, co calls, btn calls, Hero 3b 70 from SB, villian calls, rest folds
Flop Js5d4s pot 164
Hero bets 54
Villian calls
Turn Js5d2s4s pot 272
Hero checks
Villian bets 60
Hero calls
River Js5d2s4sAh pot 392
Hero checks
Villian all in for +-400
Preflop: seems like a good squeeze spot
Flop: standard cbet on this flop for value, would almost always cbet this flop with my range
Turn: I think villian has way more flushes than me in this spot and I don't want to get check raised here. That's why I check. Seems like a weird bet from villian, 1/5 pot? Sizing to have a pot sized bet on the river or just a weird sizing with a mediocre hand? I thought this sizing would not be used with a made flush.
River: will post after
Thanks for your advice guys!
Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 5,135
Preflop, I'm not expert in picking squeeze plays so I will trust your read it's a good spot. After the call, Villain will prob have pairs 77+, AJs+, AQo+, maybe some KQs and lighter stuff.
Flop is pretty damn good for us if we can discount QQ+ so I get your downbet to earn calls from PPs below the J. Maybe AK/AQ peels too.
Without the flush, shifting to a bluff catching mode is fine, but that means a good player is going to mix in some bluffs (true for this opponent?)
As such, we would want to consider which of our hands that get to the river should be defended and which folded. As top two is among the strongest, this looks like a call. And yeah, you sometimes get owned by a flush (or like 33, yuck)
Last edited by Man of Means; 01-24-2023 at 02:36 PM.
Join Date: Jan 2014
Posts: 2,133
What suits do you hold. Vs population, it's probably a fold, but if you don't have the As, it's probably a call IMO.
Join Date: May 2020
Posts: 407
Grim looking spot at first glance, but I think it is a fairly easy fold. There are two realistic hand classes on this runout that could bluff river, small pps and random broadways. Small pps should fold pre, then I don't like stabbing them ott, but I guess for this sizing it's possible. Otr river a hi gets there so their sdv is gone, and they could bluff. KT, KQ, QT, especially with no bdfd are very unlikely to float the flop just to bluff on these runouts. Anyway you're probably not playing some sick GTO bot at 2/2, so he won't have enough bluffs.