10/10 River decision with trips on flush board
08-14-2019
, 07:18 PM
V is loose aggressive MA European guy. We are both new to the table so minimal reads but he's playing 80-90% hands. Raise or call, he likes seeing flops. It's a must move table so it's getting short handed and V is raising and playing a ton. Will bet if checked to with air. Already got stacked once by AA in 3b pot where he raised, got 3b pre then raised the flop bet. Got it all in (2.5k ish) on the turn and could not beat one pair AA.
Hero is MA player have not seen V before and effective stack with $900. Has been card dead and not mixing it up. Expect to be viewed as nitty.
OTTH: V limps the button, Hero checks the SB with K
4, BB checks.
Flop ($30) - A
K K
Hero checks to get value from V. BB checks. V bets $40. Hero calls, BB folds.
Turn ($110) - A K K 6
Hero checks since the flush came in and V will likely barrel anyway. Expect that V would have raised pretty much any Ax, most Kx, and most pocket pair pre flop OTB so his value range is probably just 6x, small Kx, and flushes. V bets $60. Hero calls.
River ($230) - A K K 6 Q
Hero checks expecting V to bet both air and value here. V bets $210. Hero?
I may be leveling myself here but given Hero's likely nitty image should we consider Vs range to be more nutted than usual or do we have to auto call against a wide starting range that should be narrowed after firing 3 streets but still has some Kx chops, Ax traps maybe, and bluffs? We could also turn our hand into a bluff but I think it's a bit ambitious to think Ax will pay us off.
Hero is MA player have not seen V before and effective stack with $900. Has been card dead and not mixing it up. Expect to be viewed as nitty.
OTTH: V limps the button, Hero checks the SB with K
4, BB checks.Flop ($30) - A
K KHero checks to get value from V. BB checks. V bets $40. Hero calls, BB folds.
Turn ($110) - A
K K 6Hero checks since the flush came in and V will likely barrel anyway. Expect that V would have raised pretty much any Ax, most Kx, and most pocket pair pre flop OTB so his value range is probably just 6x, small Kx, and flushes. V bets $60. Hero calls.
River ($230) - A
K K 6 QHero checks expecting V to bet both air and value here. V bets $210. Hero?
I may be leveling myself here but given Hero's likely nitty image should we consider Vs range to be more nutted than usual or do we have to auto call against a wide starting range that should be narrowed after firing 3 streets but still has some Kx chops, Ax traps maybe, and bluffs? We could also turn our hand into a bluff but I think it's a bit ambitious to think Ax will pay us off.
