no particular reads on villian. He's been at the table for 1 or 2 orbits. Has limped/limp called over half his hands he was dealt. Fit or fold on flop.
Flop, 5 players, $31
Kd Jc 7h
villian bets $25, folds to hero, calls $25
(raise? Or is a call fine?)
turn, 2 players, $81
6h
villian bets $40, hero announces all in. About another $140ish to villian.
I figure that villian is surely beating Q high at this point, but with such a nice draw, might as well just get it in. Besides, probably won't get paid on the river if I hit.
Or would a call be fine and then fold to his river bet if I miss?
What is your hand? Qh10h I assume. In that case, I dont mind this play. It could really go either way with all in or call. If you think villian is capable of making a laydown with his wierd 2 pair then shove. But if hes a station and will say "i has 2 pairs i call" or will still bet the river when one of your draws hit because "he has 2 pairs" then call and see the river.
I like the turn shove and that is without a doubt your best line here. It utilizes fold equity and fold equity is a HUGE part of the equation that most players at 1/2NL fail to exploit. The sizing is also perfect. Pot is about $120 and you have $140.
villain's turn bet is weak and very good chance you can push him off TPWK or other hands that beat you (like Jx).
+1 for the shove the turn line. Our hand has plenty of equity when called and when you factor in fold equity a shove is probably the most +ev play. Also stack sizes are perfect for a shove.
We have about ~30% equity if called versus villain's calling range. I think we have enough fold equity to shove here. Plus shoving is good for your image.
My only caveat is that our FE will be limited if this is a thinking player. The 6h clearly doesn't complete draws, it creates them. A smart player (admittedly rare at 1/3) will read this pretty easily as a combo draw, or poss a fishy K6 line. Therefore, I doubt they fold TP here. Might get a fold from a J, though.
We have about ~30% equity if called versus villain's calling range. I think we have enough fold equity to shove here. Plus shoving is good for your image.
Also I think raise>>>call pre.
+1. Straddles are something that many 1/2NL and 1/3NL players fail to exploit. WHen there is a straddle and lots of limping, more than 2/3 the pot is dead money. A decent raise will often take it down right there and if called, you are dealing from a position of strength come flop.
If you are in Late Position or the blinds with JTs-AK, 88+, then i'm a big fan of squeezing straddles.
