Quote:
Originally Posted by JayKon
An interesting mix of responses....
Indeed. I guess I shouldn't be surprised that even with the acknowledged caveat about the debate-ability and marginal nature of defending KTo in the BB to a large-ish open, people feel strongly about it one way or the other so it gets discussed.
Obviously I'm in the camp that this is a reasonable defend at least some portion of the time under some circumstances. For those that feel differently, I respect and appreciate the input and acknowledge that under some circumstances (maybe many circumstances including this one possibly) the more conservative approach is appropriate.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Playbig2000
3bet pre and there's no reason to donk out ott..
Seems this advice does find it's way into many posts... "just 3bet more pre". In a general sense I love this advice. In a practical sense here in this situation this seems sketch to me. If KTo is in my 3bet pre range for BB vs BU then so is a ton of other stuff inflating my 3bet frequency to a place I would expect to be exploited by quality players. Wouldn't this make me pretty spewey? Anyway this is a good topic I'm curious about... maybe KTo is a reasonable and profitable 3bet vs a BU open. When I get time I'll make another 3bet-pre specific post to discuss actual ranges those of you who might be viewed as "3bet happy" preflop to explore just what you include and what you don't, and your approaches post-flop OOP in the larger 3bet pot with holdings that might make me a little skiddish. (like KTo
)
On to the rest of the hand...
One comment was that the board wasn't that wet, but I felt it was in the sense that the turn that blessed me with 2 pair just blessed villain with some kind of outs to get there. Almost any card other than a K, T, or an offsuit wheel card hitting the river devalues my hand. The board is Kd8s7cTc. There are tons of hands in villains range that have outs to a better hand: AK-A6 all have gutshots or 2-pair-plus draws. AJ, QJ, and all his 9x hands are open ended. Villain has many gutshots. He may have a handful of one-pair-plus-gutshots or one-pair-plus-OESD... and of course the BDFD for clubs is there now. I think of this as extremely wet; am I using the wrong terminology here? In any case this is what made me feel maybe the donk lead would be best. Many hands to get value from... many hands to either deny equity or charge villain for attempting to realize equity.
People gave a mix of input on how to play this turn, so maybe there isn't a clear perfect way to play and the EV of all the options are pretty close. Now I'm leaning more towards the donk-lead being slightly superior. In-game I checked with intention to c/r as long as the villain didn't do anything that would set off alarm bells. (sizing or physical tells of extreme strength) Villain checked back,Qh was the river. Do you think leading for value here makes sense? Any thoughts on best line AP with this river?
Quote:
Originally Posted by drowski
... I like a lead on the turn. He isn't going to bet often enough and check raising when he does bet is going to make for a lot of tough spots on the river vs a range that is relatively strong
This sums up quite well why after the fact I felt maybe going for the c/r line wasn't optimal and this may be a sensible place for a donk lead. Drowski, what sizing would you like?