Quote:
Originally Posted by docvail
PRE - calling 54s seems fine / isn't terrible, depending on whether or not the $20 open size tells anything, and depending on reads / tells.
FLOP - Hmmm...I could go either way, raise now, or wait to x/r turn.
Both have their merits, again, depending on our reads / tells. Like, does the splashy fun guy suddenly seem strangely quiet, or is he giving anything away with some speech-play?
If we back-raise flop, our hand is going to be pretty face-up, especially if V has 66. It's also possible BTN could have 54ss, and be free-rolling to the flush. We could be coolering ourselves by raising here.
If we think BTN might have slow-played a big PP pre, or is over-playing 77-99, or might have flopped 2P or a set, or is drawing to a flush, and will want to get it in now, okay, we can raise.
If we think BTN is capable of finding a fold here, but might feel compelled to continue betting on most turn cards, checking disguises our hand strength, and could help us avoid a cooler.
We don't want to scare away V's ace-wheel combos or over-pairs that might take this line. I might want to slow-play our hand a little, see if the turn is another spade, and possibly donk-bet on any non-spade disconnected brick.
I 100% considered back raising, but for said reason, I didn’t. Would look too strong. However, if the HJ would have called the raise, I would have 100% back raised.
This V is pretty strong here as he would most likely just call w his draws, so I kind of excluded (not completely) any flush draws or combo draws. He would potentially play 77-TT this way.
I wanted to keep his over pairs in there and any other strong holdings. Obv we can just go into check call mode if nasty run out occurs…