Quote:
Originally Posted by Lapidator
BGP,
Thanks for the thoughts.
When you say "... strong enough to not need to bluff", I presume you mean that you have V's range as mostly [weaker-A-high, and other no-pair hands]?
On the turn, I was thinking there were a ton of [1p, pp] hands I needed to fold out if I was given a good enough river card that didn't improve my hand. The offsuit-deuce was the nut best card for me, IMO. Maybe I'm just way wrong.
OTR villain is going to have mostly busted draws and due to the two, one pair hands, and sometimes a straight.
AJ beats just about all of his busted draws, with the exception of 7x that was a draw and hit a weak pair (very few of these).
If you decide to bluff the river, you probably get 7x to fold, but the majority of his pair hands are 9x and would call you. So by betting you will usually win when you were already winning at showdown, and value cut yourself vs villain's bluff catchers.
IMO the 2 is a bad card to bluff, because if villain was comfortable calling with a 9 on the flop, this 2 is not going to scare him. The best card to bluff would be a king because you have lots of kx in your range and now the value of his 9 drops a lot. Also if the river brought the flush and villain checks to you, you can rep the flush easily if you think he's never check/raising a flush. The 2 helps your range not at all, and when you check back the turn you can't have that strong a hand so otr you are repping only very thin value hands that were too thin for a turn bet but now strong enough for a river bet. IMO that's not many hands.
Last edited by Bluegrassplayer; 03-19-2015 at 11:43 PM.
