Quote:
Originally Posted by WereBeer
This is one of those spots I find hard to play optimally. I think folding to a guy who is clearly very spewy is bad, OTOH I think shoving is optimistic (I lean to shoving AQ). I probably end up stationing it and trying to GII on any A or J high board.
Yeah you know AK is so solid, you're 45% to make TPTK by the river, and depending on villain's hand he's usually somewhere between 2-15% to draw out on you. There's an argument for playing passively, playing aggressively or even shoving pre, depending on the villain.
AJ is 45% to make a hand that's *probably* a winner, and that's good, but there's still a world of difference between AJ and AK. When I'm trying to decide whether to call a raise pre, whether or not AJ is in villain's range is a key consideration, that's the point where I flip from only wanting to continue with a narrow range of super-premiums to wanting to continue with a broad range of equity hands. By opening with AJ, hero is by definition opening a not-strong range. OTF hero is drawing to a dominated pair, which gives villain more ways to win. Analysis of flop texture, in light of what's still in villain's range after pre-flop action becomes a key concern.
So I generally like the check/eval line, and I wonder if, by the same token, there's an argument for limp/calling AJo here.