I really wish OP hadn't posted results already, as this could have been a good conversation. Cliffs: the mistake we make at 1/2 is much more often giving V's too much credit and/or mirror-imaging how
we would play in a situation.
If a V is calling, even one we have pegged as decent, it's usually because they have a draw or a medium strength hand.
Quote:
Originally Posted by scelsi
This isn't even remotely a soulread 220bb deep. V2 limp-called pre and is now overcalling again fully expecting Hero to make it 150-185 to go with his overpair.
I'd rather not raise-fold in the most obvious backraise spot ever. Calling is horrific.
So a V that "hasn't done anything out of line" is 100% calling to backraise in this spot against a Hero whose only image is "pretty straightforward?"
Quote:
Originally Posted by scelsi
V2's range is super narrowed, sandwiched between V1 and Hero.
Not the bolded. Vs are huge non-believers on paired boards. His range isn't super-narrow at all. With a straightforward Hero, he's going to assume we're folding AK, AQ, and maybe a few other whiffs that we raised IP on this scary board a lot. His FDs are getting a good price, and there are a lot of them in his range if he has "winners tilt," which is quite possible given his stack.
As for V1 it wouldn't surprise me if he showed down A5s and said something like "I knew you didn't have a Jack."
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jsoec1
By flatting, what is our plan on the turn? What are we hoping to avoid that we feel confident putting our stack in with
We are avoiding the potential flat/back-raise from V2, which while I don't consider it inevitable, is a gross potential.
On a blank turn, we can GII with V1 if he bets and V2 folds (this is how we could be committed against one, but not the other, btw), or decide that we actually are beat if V1 bets and V2 raises, etc.
On a heart turn, we can fold or check back our overpair with the NFD (note, this is not a draw to the nuts, just the NF). etc.