1/2: Combo draw MW, bluff or check back turn? - Live Low-stakes No Limit Poker Forum

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1/2: Combo draw MW, bluff or check back turn?

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04-08-2018 , 01:52 AM

momo_uk

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2015 Posts: 2,546

1/2

3 limps, Hero makes it 15 OTB with AKss,
SB, BB and 1 limper call

Flop ($60): Qs Tc 8s
Blinds check, Limper fish donks $12, Hero makes it $45, SB folds, BB calls, Limper fish calls

Turn ($195): 3d
Both check to Hero, ???

BB MAWG has only $150 remaining so not sure if he’d get sticky with AQ or something. Probably doesn’t have sets since he’d fastplay them? KJ is a possibility?

Limper fish has ~$600 behind effectively with Hero. Hoping he has a lower FD.

Do we semi-bluff or take the free card?

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04-08-2018 , 02:02 AM

mikko

veteran

Join Date: Dec 2012 Posts: 2,863

Pot to big for poor players to fold. 2 opponents have shown major interest.

Just take your free card. As you should have on flop also. Someone betting $12 into 60 is fantastic for us. No reason to raise since we are getting fantastic price to call.

Plus we are not worried about someone raising behind us. Because we have enough equity on flop to stack off.

So call flop, check turn.

Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk

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04-08-2018 , 02:29 AM

Nozsr

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2013 Posts: 1,722

I would rather win $195 with A high than lose a showdown to a hand that can't call a shove on the turn.

But maybe that's just me.

For a shove we have SOME fold equity.

However much fold equity we have, added to what appears to be 9 flush outs and 6 more straight outs that don't complete the flush, makes this a shove to me. 15 outs once is about 30% there, surely we have 15-20% fold equity here?

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04-08-2018 , 07:38 AM

Case2

old hand

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 1,303

Flop raise is too small. With your call, pot is 84 and you put 33 on top. Make it 85 or even 100; much harder to call and threatens stacks OTT for shorter stack.

AP, with two opponents, one of them short, I don't think have much in the way of FE. I think we have to check it back.

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04-08-2018 , 07:43 AM

iraisetoomuch

banned

Join Date: Aug 2013 Posts: 37,552

$70 on the flop, or just call.

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04-08-2018 , 12:32 PM

SwolyswoND

old hand

Join Date: Sep 2014 Posts: 1,976

Either call flop or raise to 80. AP check back.

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04-08-2018 , 01:25 PM

br3nt00

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jan 2009 Posts: 3,664

do you have any more information on these villains? if they are weaker then i am definitely in favor of bombing here like $150-175

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04-09-2018 , 10:14 PM

momo_uk

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2015 Posts: 2,546

Quote:

Originally Posted by br3nt00

do you have any more information on these villains? if they are weaker then i am definitely in favor of bombing here like $150-175

Both were super fishy and liked to chase.

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