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Originally Posted by hxcxor
Avatar? She's too young for you bro.
Hi there . . . why don't you take a seat. I'm Chris Hansen...Dateline NBC
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is a tight live reg who is one of the bigger winners at the casino playing tight passive poker preflop (only raises TT+ sometimes AK, have seen him limp AK a decent amount of the time) and tight aggressive post flop.
This worries me somewhat. Even though he seems epic horrid preflop, you seem to think he plays pretty well postflop and is a huge winner.
It's really unlikely for you to have a set the way the hand played out. If I was villain I'm more worried that you just backed into 2 pair if you didn't have me already.
He should also know that YOU never have a 3 or 8 here unless you have specifically 35. 35 probably doesn't lead the flop. If villain has a set here, he should know he's good like 100% and you're probably paying off. Of course, sets are very hard given that there are only 1 combination of 66 and 44 out there.
The more I think about it, there's a good chance that he actually has 64s, 57 (if he's semi-bluff raising the flop and picked up a pair to go along), or a set.
At the table, I probably sigh/call. Vs a really good postflop player, I could actually find merit in folding here because he has to know you're not on a weak king here, and any conceivable hand you can be on is 2 pair+ at this point, and he's still betting large.
Anyway, enough of my 4am rambling. Decision really should come down to whether you think villain thinks he can push you off 2 pair here, or whether villain thinks you ever show up with KQ or KJ here.