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6/12 at Canterbury, AK into trips 6/12 at Canterbury, AK into trips

12-11-2008 , 05:23 PM
LP w/ AK, I raise like to do fairly often. A tight, female, casino employee on my right smooth calls as do the blinds. This was on Tuesday, during Aces always win $75 if cracked, if that matters much.

Flop K107 rainbow, nice, I bet, she calls, BB calls

Turn K, VERY nice, I bet, she calls, blind calls

River blank, 2 or 3 or something, I bet, she raises, blind folds. Do you fire back w/ top trips top kicker, or just call, fearing the boat?
6/12 at Canterbury, AK into trips Quote
12-11-2008 , 05:38 PM
given that she's a "tight" player, her range is probably (AK, KQ, KJ, TT, KT, 77) since she cold-called your raise pf and raised the river.

you are beating:
8 KQ combos
8 KJ combos
and are behind:
6 TT combos
6 KT combos
6 77 combos

and are chopping with 6 AK combos. i think this is a call, but could be a 3-bet depending on whether she generally raises her sets/2 pair hands on the flop as opposed to waiting for a big street to do so. assuming that she 4-bets her boats and calls with her trips hands, you have to be winning 2/3 of the time here to make a 3bet break-even, so i think you would have to expand her range to include K9 (8 combos), AA (6 combos) and some other stupid hands to make this breakeven.

Last edited by asmitty; 12-11-2008 at 05:45 PM.
6/12 at Canterbury, AK into trips Quote
12-11-2008 , 06:43 PM
I dont want to nit pick, just clarify.

If she was on your right, she limped then called the raise ?

If so, this increases (in my mind) her range including K10/KJ type hands. It also makes 77 more likely. Not many TAGS are calling 2 first in with 77 in LP.

Onto the hand, if she limp/called I am just calling her river raise.
6/12 at Canterbury, AK into trips Quote
12-11-2008 , 06:54 PM
This looks like one of two things. A slow played monster, like KT, TT or 77, or a river bluff on a missed draw, like QJ. The description just says tight, female, casino employee, so it is hard to tell how aggressive or tricky she might be. It would seem weird to me to wait for the river to raise with KQ, but even tight players do weird things sometimes.

In a live game, I think this is a call.
6/12 at Canterbury, AK into trips Quote

      
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