I jumped on this 4/8 game (1/2 kill) because I saw one of my favorite LAGs sit down. He is the type of player that will change the entire table dynamic; he raises ATC, straddles, blind raises if it's a kill pot, will 3 bet a raise with trash, caps with trash if given the opportunity. The rest of the table is composed of 7 other loose/passive players who adjust to the LAG by accepting that if they want to play their weaker hands they have to call 5 bets preflop. There is 1 other TAG at the table who I know incredibly well- he plays a textbook SSHE game especially in multiway pots. TAG player has 2nd nut position on LAG and will take every reasonable opportunity to isolate LAG.
Preflop: Hero is in SB with A
K
UTG limps, UTG+1 limps, UTG+2 limps,
MP (LAG) raises, LoJ folds, HiJ (TAG) 3 bets, CO folds, Button folds, SB Hero 4 bets, BB calls, all limpers call,
MP (LAG) caps, all players call
Flop: (35SB) T
8
3
(7 players)
Hero checks, checks to MP,
MP (LAG) bets, HiJ (TAG) raises, Hero?
The point is to build big pots with our equity edges, but at which point do we become tied to the pot and when do we let it go?
Hero is getting 18.5 to 1 immediate odds holding a backdoor nut flush draw and 2 overs. TAG villain's range likely to include ATs, TT-AA, possibly 88. I'm excluding other Ax hands because he wouldn't raise LAG's c-bet with air.
How do I value my potential outs in this pot when it's so big and reverse domination is a distinct possibility in the massive field?
The likely action behind is that the weaker limpers will call, obviously getting pretty amazing odds to peel. The LAG is likely to 3 bet with any pair or draw, but I have seen him slowdown when he completely misses and is getting played back at by a TAG. If the LAG does 3 bet, the TAG will surely 4 bet a set, AA or KK, he may slowdown with weaker holdings (AT, JJ & QQ) waiting for a "safe" turn to try to reduce the odds he is offering the field and protect his holding.
Fold or call this flop?
If you're calling, do you ever 3 bet to cut the field of limpers' odds to 40 to 3 (13.3 to 1)? That seems pretty ineffective on getting hands like KT, K8, AT, A8 to fold, unless the limpers feel like the flop will also be capped and just get out of the way. Would a 3 bet alert the TAG that we may be holding AA or KK if he is holding AT or QQ-JJ? If so, would we fold to a 4 or 5 bet back from the TAG?