Note: This is not a BBV post. I do not enjoy telling bad beat stories. I think there is something wrong with my pokertracker. Please help. A thousand apologies if this question has been posted before.
I use pokertracker 3, micro edition and play only .05/.10 NLHE on Pokerstars. From the beginning, I thought there might be something wrong with the calculations behind the Expected Value - All in performance garph, but I told myself that I probably just didn't understand EV and I should stop whining.
Then, yesterday and today I had a couple hands that simply cannot understand. I was definitely very +EV when the money went in, but the graph shows an EV line that drops evenly with my Money Actually (Lost) line.
First, yesterday's odd hand.
Poker Stars $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
The Official
2+2 Hand Converter
Powered By DeucesCracked.com
BB: $10.00
UTG: $39.85
MP: $6.85
CO: $12.90
Hero (BTN): $10.90
SB: $8.45
Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BTN with A
A
UTG raises to $0.30, MP calls $0.30,
1 fold,
Hero raises to $1.30,
2 folds, UTG calls $1, MP calls $1
Flop: ($4.05) 9
5
9
(3 players)
UTG checks, MP checks,
Hero bets $2.20, UTG folds, MP calls $2.20
Turn: ($8.45) K
(2 players)
MP checks,
Hero bets $3.60, MP calls $3.35 all in
River: ($15.15) 5
(2 players - 1 is all in)
Final Pot: $15.15
MP shows 8
5
(a full house, Fives full of Nines)
Hero shows A
A
(two pair, Aces and Nines)
MP wins $14.45
(Rake: $0.70)
This was the only hand I lost with AA yesterday, but my EV garph, filtered to yesterday and AA, looks like this:
The hand above is hand 10 on the garph (and the only hand I lost with AA yesterday). The EV line is parallel to the money won line, both going down. Clearly, the money line is correct because I lost, but I was never behind until the river and I was a 95% favorite on the turn, when a lot of the money went in. So my EV line should climb, no?
Next, today's odd hand.
Poker Stars $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
The Official
2+2 Hand Converter
Powered By DeucesCracked.com
CO: $10.00
BTN: $4.45
SB: $23.65
Hero (BB): $11.45
UTG: $11.85
MP: $10.10
Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BB with K
K
2 folds,
CO raises to $0.30,
2 folds,
Hero raises to $1.10, CO calls $0.80
Flop: ($2.25) Q
6
7
(2 players)
Hero bets $1.60,
CO raises to $5,
Hero raises to $9.80, CO calls $3.90 all in
Turn: ($20.05) 8
(2 players - 1 is all in)
River: ($20.05) T
(2 players - 1 is all in)
Final Pot: $20.05
CO shows T
T
(three of a kind, Tens)
Hero shows K
K
(a pair of Kings)
CO wins $19.10
(Rake: $0.95)
Nearly all of the money went in on the turn, when I was a 90% favorite, yet my pokertracker garph says I was -EV on this hand (the last one on the garph):
So what's the deal? Is there something I need to change to make my pokertracker read the hands correctly?
Last edited by hipha; 11-11-2009 at 02:11 AM.
Reason: clarity