pick 2. 1 pt per first down

j-stew @NO
s-jax@GB
vereen@SD
sankey v NYG


leaning j-stew for one but i have no clue on the other really

also kelce v cards or reed v stl?

currently leaning reed but i think it's close



i assume noone is starting reed or kelce over any of those running backs in my flex but i guess that's a possibility

I get to face your beast team next week. You know it's Reed at TE after seeing the McCoy love fest there. Kelce's problem in that PPFD format is Alex Smith doesn't throw him enough first downs! It's like 6, 7, 8 yards, kills his value.

Stewart is snap start against the awful Saints. For the other it's between SJax and Vereen, and I have no real opinion one way or the other. Good luck!

No PPR, need to pick 1 RB:

Latavius Murray (OAK v SF)
Daniel Herron (IND v CLE)
Stephan Taylor (ARI v KC)

Fitz
Sanchez
Mettenberger

I fully expect Sanchez to suck, fwiw.

Herron AINEC. Murray is going against a strong run D, will be in something of a timeshare and likely won't do what he did a couple weeks ago. Taylor also is facing a strong run D and isn't that good.

Herron may cede carries to TRICH, but he still gets a ton of YPC and can bust a big one at any time (even taking away his 49 yd TD run agains Washington - a very good run d - he still averaged almost 5.6 YPC). I'm not too worried about TRICH vulturing. They have to be on the 2 yard line for TRICH to have any shot at crossing the goal line, so Herron it is.

Mett could easily put up some points this week though. NYG secondary is banged up, Tenn is going to be behind all game, and Mett has already shown that throwing for 300 yards a game is doable.

I'm gong with Bailey, Washington, Woods - in that order. Watkins health + talib and lolKrapernick even vs the raiders has me worried. Shaun Hill looks to Bailey a lot and the skins give up a lot of points to WR. Bills will be behind and Woods should be open more. NYG secondary isn't great and Washington could very well be Metts top target for the game.

Standard League:

Colby Fleener or Dwayne Allen (both at Cleveland)

KC DST (@ Arizona) or Miami DST (vs. Baltimore)

Crabs

Fleener and Mia

Toss up eagles may be a surprise

Due to injuries and my decision to bench Bennett rather than flexing him, I have some tough choices in a league.

I need a contingency plan if Rashad Jennings does not play:
Pierre Thomas vs CAR
Terrance West vs IND (if no Crowell)
Latavius Murray vs SF

My lean is West (if no Crowell) >> Murray >>>> Thomas

What do you guys think of the reports that Murray "is a guy you have to continue to rotate"? My guess is that he is in line for ~12 touches and that number may rise or fall depending on his output and the performance of McFadden/MJD which seems rather high variance. Also, if Crowell starts, is Murray the clear choice here? EDIT: It now seems Sporano is "curious" about Murray...

I also need a WR and a flex in this league:
Decker @ MIN
Nate Washington vs NYG
Sanu vs PIT
Shorts vs HOU
Harry Douglas @ GB

I could also flex any of those RB. I planned on starting Kendall Wright, so with him out went to the waiver wire and saw Washington and Decker available. Really have no clue if these are better options than Sanu/Shorts. I don't think I can start Douglas since he simply doesn't get enough targets when Roddy plays and the game is on Monday

I go with your leans on RB.

For WR/Flex - I think I go Washington and then either Decker or Sanu, though not happy about either. Jets are going to run the ball again, so Decker may not get that many targets, but I dunno if I trust Dalton enough to make Sanu that good. Shorts is just too unreliable, and the Falcons game is away, outside, and in the cold which is not a good combo for Matty Ice.

gotta go reed after mccoy just peppered him last game. for rbs, i go jstew and vereen. vereen just has more upside than the rest.

im worried trich gets a lot of work due to herrons fumbling but your other options suck. browns do get torched on the ground.


uhh, no effin way. id proly reverse them. west may be a healthy scratch or passed up by the 3rd stringer. titans have been getting torched on the ground but andre hasnt been very effective.

mathews has been good lately and the pats arent scary at stopping the run. its close. id proly go mathews tho.

smith is tough bc grimes will be on him. still, the rest of the options are rough. garcon is right out. the other 2 have nice matchups and should get lots of targets. i guess id go lee since hes at home.

ya go kelce bc hes got a great matchup and has had some big games. rudolph has been pretty unproductive.

ellington is out obv. jennings wont player either imo. cant risk roddy.

crows playin

dont think its close. vereen hasnt done sht for weeks.

ya, dont like any of those options but i guess just go with the best def.

orton or sanchez. id go sanchez honestly. hes at home and its not like orton has a good matchup on the road.

not trusting trich. andres matchup is excellent.

hastn done much lately, but they should be forced to throw.

pretty tough. id go sanchez tho. not trusting fitz on the road. not trusting an injured mett.

ugh, rough one.

Chaps, in PPR, what is more likely:

1) That Gio AND Hill both get over say...14 points

2) That Alfred Morris gets over 12 points against the beastly STL D

Alf Mo hasn't done so hot against legit D's. I find myself as a dog, trying to decide between dressing both Bengal backs, vs Alf.

browns have been tough against tes.

dont mess with west. coach hates him and theres a good chance the 3rd stringer has replaced him. crows playin anyway.

with wright and hunter out, nate wash is their top wr target. gotta start him. your other options suck. gambling on douglas may be the best play. even with white, he may not be that much worse than the others.

heres my best ffpc team. its in 214th place with 1500 teams left. the final 3 weeks are added to the average of the regular season. so i currently have 152 pts, the best team has 170, and the next 3 weeks get added to that. (obv didnt count thurs.)

regardless, upside is all that matters. gotta outscore a ton of teams and the payouts are super steep.

mettenberger vs nyg or matt ryan @ gb

mett has a bad shoulder but has practiced and is probable. the giants give up the 9th most points to qbs. matt ryan has been garbage on the road and the packers give up the 21nd most pts. his oline has gotten healthier tho.

ppr, pick 1 rb and 2 flex
forsett @ mia (missed 2 practices, questionable, 16th most pts to rbs)
herron @ cle (has split with trich for weeks, browns been torched a few times on the ground)
fjax @ den (21 carries and 3 catches last week)
hilton @ cle (haden scare anyone?)
gordon vs ind

I have Ellington

instead should i roll with...

Grice
Taylor
L. murray
D. Robsinson

thanks for the help

12 points from Alfred Morris more likely than both Bengals RBs getting over 14 points each. If I had to choose 1 Bengals RB this week it would be Gio. Hill's comments earlier, plus Gio looked better last game and is a pass catching back.

QB - ugh. Ryan is going to have to throw because he'll be behind but he can really suck. Mett will also have to throw because he'll be behind but his weapons are bad. Coin flip, but I guess I go Ryan only because of Julio.

Gordon, Herron, Forsett for upside. Worried about Denver getting out to a big enough lead that the Bills' have to abandon the running game and yes Haden scares me enough that I prefer Herron over TY for upside.

Depends - are you far behind and need a homerun or would you prefer sure points? I think Murray has the highest ceiling there and also the lowest floor (and a lower average). Taylor is starting in the backfield, not Grice but KC is a good d. Robinson should get a decent amount of touches and I think his average will be the best of the group.

murray should have about 200 yards rushing against SF

I'm not sure if you're being serious or not...

.5ppr Pick 1 Flex

Jarvis Landry vs Bal
Stedman Bailey @Was

My friend is in the playoffs in a PPR league and is in a tough spot, he needs a find a way to beat this guy, and because he has Luck and the team hes facing has Hilton and Fleener (and a big lead) hes in pretty big trouble. Whats the play here? Could you possibly bench Luck? He has no backup QB and best available QBs are Fitzpatrick, S Hill, Orton, Stanton, Bridgewater, Hoyer, Mccoy. Or do you start Luck and start Moncrief (fa) over Andre Johnson/J Bell?

Start Luck and hope he throws for a ton to other fuys. Maybe he runs one in. You can't bench a top 3 QB. Ever!

Gordon, TY, Forsett. I dont really see any rational argument for FJax or Herron if you are looking for pure upside.