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09-15-2013 , 04:21 PM

#76

outdrawed

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Dec 2012 Posts: 3,707

womp womp womp

Quote

09-15-2013 , 07:24 PM

#77

Randal_Graves

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 10,183

F*** me right? At least one of mine is a rebuy league.

Quote

09-15-2013 , 08:22 PM

#78

EddyB66

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 26,767

Easily moved on 2 weeks in a row now with having a team that less than 10 people had and my games were never in doubt. KC week 1 Oak week 2. 600 people to start. Down to 430, should be even less. NE got lucky vs Buff, and Hou today would have knocked out 270 people. Next week could be the toughest week.

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09-15-2013 , 10:44 PM

#79

tdomeski

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2003 Posts: 8,321

Huh? Next week has 3-4 double digit favs.

Week 4 could be sticky depending on who you have left.

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09-16-2013 , 09:57 AM

#80

holmfries

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 6,337

Well squeaked by with the Ravens.

At some point gonna have to pick a decent team.

Quote

09-16-2013 , 10:33 AM

#81

hfrog355

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 6,404

Picked against Oakland week 1.
Picked for Oakland week 2. (First time I can remember flipping like that in consecutive weeks)

I'm pretty convinced at this point they're good enough to pull a crazy upset and knock some people out of eliminator leagues because casual fans will pick against them on name recognition only. Gonna be sweet.

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09-16-2013 , 12:13 PM

#82

Namath12

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2011 Posts: 55,849

Thanks Phillololly for taking a giant **** on me in week 2!

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09-16-2013 , 12:14 PM

#83

EddyB66

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 26,767

This year may suck for survivor pools. Jax may go 0-16.

Quote

09-16-2013 , 03:56 PM

#84

scottp4braves

Optimistic

Join Date: Apr 2012 Posts: 1,149

Quote:

Originally Posted by EdBratz66

This year may suck for survivor pools. Jax may go 0-16.

Really wish I had thought about this more and pulled the trigger on Oakland instead of switching from Cincy to Philly at 12:30 yesterday.

Quote

09-16-2013 , 04:25 PM

#85

hfrog355

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 6,404

Cincy was also a great pick this week. I don't think there's a chance in hell they lose a MNF home opener to a down division opponent after dropping the season opener.

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09-16-2013 , 06:29 PM

#86

Thamel18

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2008 Posts: 10,177

I picked IND wk 1, OAK this week. Having that extra good team really does open up a lot of good opportunity down the line (I've formulated a few series of picks myself). OAK v JAX is obviously the maximum value/edge you can probably expect from OAK, so as a value pick it's pretty optimal, especially if you have no faith at all in JAX.

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09-16-2013 , 06:36 PM

#87

EddyB66

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 26,767

Hoping Jax can pull the upset this week. They most likely will stay on the west coast, Seattle coming off a huge win, might be a let down game in the cards. I've always thought the difference between the best and worst team isn't that much.

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09-16-2013 , 06:51 PM

#88

tdomeski

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2003 Posts: 8,321

Quote:

Originally Posted by EdBratz66

Wait, what? Do teams ever stay away from their facilities on a full week? Genuinely curious, I'd never in a million years think the Jags wouldn't go back to Jacksonville to prepare.

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09-16-2013 , 06:51 PM

#89

NDfan

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2009 Posts: 10,016

I switched from NE to HOU, buttthennnnnn to PHI last minute. GG

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09-16-2013 , 07:15 PM

#90

gs3737

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Aug 2007 Posts: 4,719

Quote:

Originally Posted by EdBratz66

The line opened at 20. TWENTY!!

Even if most of the pool take the Seahawks, I will kick myself if I lose with anyone else. SEA it is.

Quote

09-16-2013 , 07:26 PM

#91

nutshot2

Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 48,742

Quote:

Originally Posted by EdBratz66

You have a better chance of hosting SNL than the jags do of winning this game

Quote

09-16-2013 , 07:33 PM

#92

hfrog355

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 6,404

Losing this week with so many viable options would be such a kick in the pants. Probably going to happen to someone who gets it in as -400 or better.

Quote

09-16-2013 , 08:03 PM

#93

Michael888

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Dec 2012 Posts: 3,761

I'd probably pick up religion if the Jags won next week.

Quote

09-16-2013 , 08:18 PM

#94

EddyB66

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 26,767

Quote:

Originally Posted by tdomeski

Wait, what? Do teams ever stay away from their facilities on a full week? Genuinely curious, I'd never in a million years think the Jags wouldn't go back to Jacksonville to prepare.

That would be a hell of a trip to fly back to Jacksonville and than back to Seattle in 6 days. They are staying in Fremont, CA for this week.

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09-16-2013 , 08:23 PM

#95

EddyB66

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 26,767

I'm sure Jax won't win, but I have a strategy and I have to stick with it. Grasping for straws obv, but staying on the west coast, perhaps a change of scenery will do them some good. Plus these athletes are mental midgets. After that win last night, the media will be eating up Seattle and the players will probably believe their own hype, and will probably play down to their competition on Sunday. I'm sure they win, but hey if I can get a nice sweat.

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09-17-2013 , 04:15 AM

#96

randominternet2345

Guest

Posts: n/a

how come lines get thrown out the window when talking about suicide pools? or you guys trowing all this media talk like above all kill it betting spreads as well? ed, you really think if all that bull**** you just rambled about carries any weight it isn't accounted for in the +19.5?

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09-17-2013 , 04:55 AM

#97

renodoc

Casino Olympics Champion

Join Date: Feb 2004 Posts: 8,357

I have 10 live entries into the local sportsbook "last fan standing" pool. You can use the same team week after week if you want.

I'm trying to figure out the proper distribution of risk in a week like week #3. My first instinct is 7 tickets on SEA and 3 on DEN. But 6-4 and 8-2 might be right also. Thoughts?

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09-17-2013 , 06:53 AM

#98

hfrog355

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 6,404

Petey boy could announce he is going to rest half his starters and the line would still be 10+.

Quote

09-17-2013 , 07:10 AM

#99

EddyB66

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 26,767

They don't make the line to guess what the score will be. They set it, so they aren't stuck with 90% on one side. Having said that, an interesting stat I saw is that only 6 double digit underdogs have won outright in the last 20 years.