Quote:
Originally Posted by Randal_Graves
Sweated out Rams last week.
Thinking Ravens this week.
There are two goals in this. To pick the right team, and to last longer than other teams. The Rams were -3.5 last week. If you consistently pick teams that are only 60-65% to win, you will be knocked out very quickly. So I don't like the Rams pick last week.
I don't like the Ravens this week either. There are five other games with better lines (Pats, Eagles, Packers, Bengals, Texans), and according to Yahoo, a whopping 22.8% of users are taking the Ravens. That's the same amount taking the Patriots who are 11-13 point favorites. Even if you hold your ~75% chance of surviving, your equity won't change nearly as much because 1/4 of the people took the same team as you.