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NBA DFS 2015-16 NBA DFS 2015-16

01-08-2016 , 04:08 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by fruit snacks
PGI. Smith23.75lock
SGE. Turner31.75lock
SFK. Bazemore41.5lock
PFN. Mirotic26.5lock
CA. Horford46.25lock
GT. Burke16lock
FT. Gibson21.75lock
UTIL J. Butler

won a double up last night... am I getting better or just a lucky fish? 3 guys from the bulls too many? Also used no one from the sac/lakers game which is suspect.
With Jimmy Butler in your lineup, Turner was a de facto UTIL, and he can pretty much never look the best overall at the price before lineups lock.

Gibson is a safe 20-28 point guy but his last game before yesterday was inflated by something like 6 blocks which are more random. But its safe, so I get it. Amir Johnson had the safe safety as Taj with less risk than Mitotic at a cheaper price.

If your lineup is looking like this, not waiting for Kobe news against the Kings has to be the leak. Playing Kobe or Lou, depends ng on Kobe's status was safer volume in a better matchup than Turner. And spending middle class money on two low upside forwards is a tad wasteful because the same fpts can be found around $500-$1000 cheaper.

Otherwise, you seem to have thought through your lineup well. The Turner play isn't bad at all in a vacuum, but with Butler in your lineup, and the ways bigs kill Chicago, going Amir-Kobe/Lou is the better play than Turner-Niko in cash where you took on a bit more risk for the price than you needed to.

Not sure when you set your lineup, either, but if Rondo was out, you left no space to plug in Collison so that UTI spot should've been an injury-dependent one, again, given the money you were willing to spend on Turner and what could be save from Niko to Amir.
NBA DFS 2015-16 Quote
01-08-2016 , 04:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Captain Oi!
where you took on a bit more risk for the price than you needed to.
awsome, thanks for the reply. I'm still trying to get past the button clicking phase so it will take a bit for all this to sink in.
NBA DFS 2015-16 Quote
01-08-2016 , 04:37 PM
Does anyone notice a time of day correlation between the times you register for cash games and how soft they are? In other words, should I be reserving during the day, assuming fish are setting lineups or reserving and forgetting, etc?
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01-08-2016 , 09:05 PM
If you were to win a seat to the DK NBA live final in San Diego, and then in between that time your state declares DFS illegal and DK stops taking your business, what happens?
NBA DFS 2015-16 Quote
01-08-2016 , 09:39 PM
****ing Anthony davis plus chalmers 80% and sucking
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01-08-2016 , 10:07 PM
1/42 in gpp's last 3 days and find myself with a lot of Davis tonight
NBA DFS 2015-16 Quote
01-08-2016 , 10:12 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ReliableSource
1/42 in gpp's last 3 days and find myself with a lot of Davis tonight

I was in 7th of the 8pm and than he got hurt and it all fell apart
NBA DFS 2015-16 Quote
01-08-2016 , 10:14 PM
No Davis but a lot of Chalmers
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01-08-2016 , 10:51 PM
Anthony Davis is the single best argument against DFS as a game of skill
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01-08-2016 , 11:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by wesrwood
****ing Anthony davis plus chalmers 80% and sucking
Same here, not good at all. Just gross.
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01-08-2016 , 11:28 PM
I went 100% chalmers lol @ me
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01-08-2016 , 11:37 PM
And now Cj McCollum lol. Tonight started out so well for me and I'm gonna cash nothing
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01-08-2016 , 11:48 PM
I just don't wanna see any of today's GPP winners w/Porzingis in their LU. It would tilt me so hard, such a horrible play.
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01-08-2016 , 11:49 PM
I pledge from this day forth, to never expose Brow any more than 50% of my lineups. Solid advice for my 100th post IMO.
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01-09-2016 , 12:08 AM
I feel somewhat comforted that even if davis got 60 points I still probably wouldn't have cashed ****.
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01-09-2016 , 12:42 AM
Had Brow in 1/6 full slate gpp lineups but in a turbo lineup I used in a 3x, 50/50, and gpp. Actually cashed the triple (finishing 4/34) and double ups with 254.75, despite only 53.3% and 59.7% owning Brow. There really weren't many great ways to spend 10k at 7:00, I guess.

Agree with poster above. The chance he exists the game in which he plays or the team is just such a disaster that the game doesn't come to him make him a limited exposure gpp play. His early exits aren't variance; there's a pattern. 3 of his last 9 games not hitting 30 minutes. From a guy you need 55, that can't happen. On a large slate, there has to always be a better way to spend $10.5k on 75% of lineups.

Also, 7/10 h2h opponents had Brow, which was really weird to me. I guess no centers over 7900 and the savings on Mario, Arthur, and Dipo, fear of a Thunder blowout and KD-Russ both playing just made people auto-click Brow. Surprised I didn't face more Tony Allen. I had him projected to 5-6x before confirmation he was starting. Maybe people were afraid of too much Denver-Memphis exposure? I did see a lot of Gallo in my h2h opponents. Price was just on the right side of $7k to pivot, IMO.
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01-09-2016 , 01:14 AM
Thought for sure they would bring draymond back in for the triple double
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01-10-2016 , 09:35 PM
played Nurkic in all my Jokic lineups tonight. hopefully it won't matter
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01-11-2016 , 10:25 AM
Don't know about you guys but I lost 10 BIs this weekend in cash games (DUs and H2Hs). Have a bad feeling one Net is gonna crush value and kill me in everything tonight.
I know it's a good night to fade cash when Tony Parker and Harrison Barnes are tempting.
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01-11-2016 , 06:33 PM
PG Shanke Larkin
SG Jimmy Butler
SF Otto Porter
PF Nikola Mirotic
C Brook Lopez
G Goran Dragic
F Chris Bosh
Utl Gerald Green

If gortat is playing I swap brook lopez and then can get kawhi instead of bosh. Any fundamental mistakes being made here?

this is for 50/50s btw
NBA DFS 2015-16 Quote
01-11-2016 , 06:50 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by fruit snacks
PG Shanke Larkin
SG Jimmy Butler
SF Otto Porter
PF Nikola Mirotic
C Brook Lopez
G Goran Dragic
F Chris Bosh
Utl Gerald Green

If gortat is playing I swap brook lopez and then can get kawhi instead of bosh. Any fundamental mistakes being made here?

this is for 50/50s btw
Never put Gerald Green in a 50-50. Mirotic, either.
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01-11-2016 , 07:12 PM
What about Manu Ginobili?
NBA DFS 2015-16 Quote
01-11-2016 , 07:19 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by fruit snacks
PG Shanke Larkin
SG Jimmy Butler
SF Otto Porter
PF Nikola Mirotic
C Brook Lopez
G Goran Dragic
F Chris Bosh
Utl Gerald Green

If gortat is playing I swap brook lopez and then can get kawhi instead of bosh. Any fundamental mistakes being made here?

this is for 50/50s btw
Also time to bail on Larkin, looks like he got benched for Sloan.
NBA DFS 2015-16 Quote
01-11-2016 , 07:33 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by fruit snacks
What about Manu Ginobili?
Same. All three are classic gpp players (in contrast to, say, Dirk or Paul Millsap, classic cash players). That being said, on a 3 game slate, these plays are more appropriate given the lack of options. My response was to just not fire at all today.
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01-11-2016 , 08:29 PM
Interesting. So not only do you think a 3 game slate with 2 possible blowouts (or at least big leads so minutes become uncertain) is really high variance, you actually think there is no edge to be had at all?
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