MLB 2015 DFS Thread - Page 216 - Fantasy Sports -- Two Plus Two Poker Forums

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08-11-2015 , 07:50 PM

#5376

LetsGambool

banned

Join Date: Jan 2007 Posts: 26,568

Harper and Dom Brown scratched in the later games

Quote

08-11-2015 , 08:09 PM

#5377

Brad22

old hand

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 1,965

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheNonPareil

I scored 49 and didn't cash all double ups on FD yesterday. Most notably the BIG $10.

Quote:

Originally Posted by dereku

Last night it was around 46.5 in my 5050s, but other nights it can be 25. So the real answer is it depends on the night

Quote:

Originally Posted by lebron_cramps

I've got a couple hundred games in 1$ 5050's. So far its been around the 40/42 point average with the low nights being in the early mid 30's and the high nights being high 40's plus.

Quote:

Originally Posted by SA16

The average score in H2H is 33.9. I'd expect 5050 to be a bit higher than that. 34.X

Thanks guys. Just trying out the free stuff for the ROS, just wanted some ideas of what good scores are.

Quote

08-11-2015 , 08:48 PM

#5378

CtrlAltDel

banned

Join Date: Sep 2011 Posts: 426

Funny how the yanks starter for $5500 got 25% owned in the 400k DK. Good play? safeplay? or too much exposure. Must have been all over the cheat sheats. LOL. Maybe its normal, seemed a little wack that he was 25% owned.

Quote

08-11-2015 , 08:52 PM

#5379

TasteIsKing9

old hand

Join Date: Jun 2014 Posts: 1,360

Severino must be allergic to Ks tonight.. Blah blah Indians don't K against righties

Quote

08-11-2015 , 09:52 PM

#5380

ReliableSource

veteran

Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 2,282

Quote:

Originally Posted by LetsGambool

Harper and Dom Brown scratched in the later games

Franco injured in the top 1st. my Phillies stack took it in the ass.

Quote

08-11-2015 , 10:07 PM

#5381

ChiefBlackfoot

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2014 Posts: 561

That's pretty Ruf.

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08-12-2015 , 12:19 AM

#5382

dkgojackets

DKGOAT

Join Date: May 2006 Posts: 86,123

so much free money tonight. Im not sure how people have bad lineups when literally every SP you thought could be good ended up with a great game, plus mandatory starts like salty and peralta came up huge.

Quote

08-12-2015 , 12:40 AM

#5383

Biesterfield

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 8,042

Hot take: MadBum was a worse play than Harvey and Greinke tonight.

Quote

08-12-2015 , 12:44 AM

#5384

dkgojackets

DKGOAT

Join Date: May 2006 Posts: 86,123

cmon out for the ninth madbum and get me top ten in the 20k

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08-12-2015 , 12:59 AM

#5385

SA16

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 6,972

Quote:

Originally Posted by Biesterfield

Hot take: MadBum was a worse play than Harvey and Greinke tonight.

On FD Harvey (ignoring weather) > Bum > Greinke (pre-Harper news) tonight IMO.

Quote

08-12-2015 , 01:25 AM

#5386

ChiefBlackfoot

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2014 Posts: 561

But Rea 3.3x'd value on FD!

Quote

08-12-2015 , 01:36 AM

#5387

SA16

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 6,972

Quote:

Originally Posted by ChiefBlackfoot

But Rea 3.3x'd value on FD!

I faced one guy with Rea. He had Pujols Dozier Donaldson Tulo Trout Harper combine to go 0-20 lol.

Quote

08-12-2015 , 02:28 AM

#5388

ChiefBlackfoot

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2014 Posts: 561

lol Confirmed no variance in this game

Quote

08-12-2015 , 04:41 AM

#5389

am_man

old hand

Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 1,392

In a big 50/50 (ex. 1000+ lineups), what would be the max number of lineups that you'd put in it that are the exact same? Each one after the first has diminished value of course, but it still could be +EV up to a certain point. Curious what you DFS experts limit yourself too? 1? More?

Quote

08-12-2015 , 06:29 AM

#5390

EddyB66

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 26,767

Quote:

Originally Posted by am_man

About 500

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08-12-2015 , 07:39 AM

#5391

lebron_cramps

adept

Join Date: Jun 2014 Posts: 970

Quote:

Originally Posted by EddyB66

About 500

ahhh

knew I had been doing something wrong this whole time.

Quote

08-12-2015 , 08:52 AM

#5392

dkgojackets

DKGOAT

Join Date: May 2006 Posts: 86,123

shipped my first top ten gpp last night, plus a bunch of mid-cashes in it. feelsgoodman

Quote

08-12-2015 , 09:04 AM

#5393

dereku

old hand

Join Date: Mar 2011 Posts: 1,216

pics or gtfo

Spoiler:

Quote

08-12-2015 , 09:33 AM

#5394

EddyB66

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 26,767

I've been high on Rodon all year and I think last night was first night I didn't have him at all. Standard

Quote

08-12-2015 , 11:24 AM

#5395

Priptonite

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2009 Posts: 17,204

Quote:

Originally Posted by EddyB66

I've been high on Rodon all year and I think last night was first night I didn't have him at all. Standard

Why on earth would you be high on Rodon?

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08-12-2015 , 11:30 AM

#5396

EddyB66

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 26,767

Read about him in the offseason when I picked up a few of his autographed rookie cards. Saw he was averaging more than a k per inning. Was hoping he could translate to the majors. He's had a few pretty good starts, and I typically have a lineup with him.

Quote

08-12-2015 , 11:38 AM

#5397

JohnFR

veteran

Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 3,365

Quote:

Originally Posted by Priptonite

Why on earth would you be high on Rodon?

He was a bad option in cash last night, but a good option in GPPs if you wanted to load up on bats because of his ceiling, imo. I had a little Rodon exposure last night, and loaded up on bats that didn't hit, lol tulo, donaldson, etc. As long as Rodon is so cheaply priced he will always be a viable GPP target if you can load up on value bats.

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08-12-2015 , 11:49 AM

#5398

SA16

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 6,972

Rodon doesn't really have a high ceiling because he is so wild he almost never goes deep in games. Last night was the first time all year he completed 7 innings. In 7 of his 16 starts he hasn't even recorded an out in the 6th inning. So his "high ceiling" is really what like 5 innings 7-8 strikeouts and a bunch of walks that get him pulled. And in a win and that's 16-17 points or so. Very unlikely that he scores more than that.

Quote

08-12-2015 , 11:55 AM

#5399

Priptonite

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2009 Posts: 17,204

Agreed that K upside puts him in play in GPPs, but I don't think you can really be "high" on him. His walk rate is obscene.

Quote

08-12-2015 , 01:03 PM

#5400

JohnFR

veteran

Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 3,365

Quote:

Originally Posted by SA16

Wait he's scored 18+ 7/16 starts, and 20+ 6/16 starts and 24+ 4/16 starts and for 5-6k range that's not bad, obviously I wouldn't leave money on the table with him in my lineup, but I was chosing between him, Graveman and Severino, I took a tiny bit of Severino as well. I also downgraded a couple of bats and took Hellickson in some, and maybe that was the right play tbh, and I had more of that play, but I felt the upgrade at bats and the variance Rodon brought was worth the risk.

EDIT: Also, if I had seen the high ownership of Severino, no chance I would have chosen him over Rodon's low ownership, the plays were similar with equal ownerships imo.

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