Quote:
Originally Posted by DVaut1
If DK keeps dumping enormous piles of money into advertising, may take a long time to run out of fish.
also, the fact of the matter is that there are plenty of people who are willing to lose $10-50/week during NFL season to have some fun constructing a lineup and stuff. If you've got 1,000,000 NFL fans willing to lose $20 each per week then you have $20mm right there that people are willing to funnel to the winners and the sites per week. For a reference point, about 20mm people watch the national games each week so thats only a 5% conversion rate and people love to gamble.
For that reason, I believe that NFL DFS will survive so long as it is not legislated away. Other sports have a higher skill barrier imo (in that the average player is less informed about who is good and who isn't) and the depth of research required is much higher so these could have trouble growing. For instance, in cfb the totals and spreads are hugely important and not clustered like they are in the NFL and outlier performance from low end players is much rarer as the skill differential between them and the top players is much larger. In baseball and hockey, lineup construction matters a lot. In NBA injury news comes out late and is hugely important.
Even if I knew I was a losing player at DFS I'd prefer to get take-out, a 6 pack, and spend $30 on DFS entries while watching at home with friends and checking my lineups than to go to a sports bar and spend $50 on food and beer while watching the games.