Quote:
Originally Posted by keuwai
Actually, I’ve always thought the opposite - that splitting sizes is more important in softer games.
In tough games, players know that they need to be very aggressive vs small bets. So having 2 sizes doesn’t really add much EV.
In softer games however, players seldom raise enough vs small bets. So your marginal hands realise more equity than they should by betting small, and your strong hands really want to bet big (since your opponents aren’t building the pot for you when you bet small). And it’s impossible to capture all this extra EV without having 2 sizes.
Agreed. I would MUCH rather simplify versus the best opponents than versus the worst opponents.
If splitting sizes on the earliest streets added EV versus the best opponents, we would see HS pros splitting sizes preflop, but they don't, because the EV it adds is barely measurable in GTO. And when they do split sizes pre, it is almost certainly for exploitative purposes (hoping the opponent hasn't studied the strategy to properly counter a 2x BTN open, for example).
But versus a whale I would happily split sizes pre. For example, if the whale limps I may raise like 8bb with KK (as much as I think he will call with random trash), but when I have J9s I will iso only like 4bb (enough to get others to fold so I can play HU vs the whale). Assuming the others are not good enough to punish me for this, of course.
Last edited by Zamadhi; 04-19-2024 at 05:47 AM.