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n00b q'n about my turn and river CBET percentages effect on villain behavior n00b q'n about my turn and river CBET percentages effect on villain behavior

03-05-2019 , 07:16 PM
At the lowest microstakes .1/.2, my turn and river cbet percentages are super high, but this has been profitable so I believe it is an exploitative leak that I'll need to clean up when it stops working as frequently as it does here.

My questions is this, what does a thinking player using HUD stats do to adjust to me?

I'm thinking, how would I play against myself?


my stats: CBET turn 67%, CBET river 63%

So, looking at my post flop stats, (analyzing myself objectively), I can guess that this guy bluffs the turn a lot and the river a super lot.

The thing is, the fact that he both bluffs the turn and the river puts me in a conundrum.

I won't often get to see a cheap river with my bluffcatchers, and am playing a high variance game trying to bluff catch this guy.

Even though my play to call down or even raise can be +EV, I'll just fold because I'd rather be in a different spot.

...or do you just keep calling down light with more bluffcatchers?

I think the prevalence of the (passive) former thought is what makes such an unbalanced aggressive strategy effective at the super microstakes?
n00b q'n about my turn and river CBET percentages effect on villain behavior Quote
03-06-2019 , 08:16 AM
Doesn't seem that high.
n00b q'n about my turn and river CBET percentages effect on villain behavior Quote
03-06-2019 , 02:48 PM
Assuming I had faith in the numbers, I'd be more likely to bluff-raise you on the flop (e.g. with draws that are unlikely to get free cards), but call down with value-hands to "let you hang yourself".
Unless you're on a small network, most players won't get a large enough sample on you for them to bother calculating a gameplan against you, if indeed they use their HUDs for things like that. (I think a lot of micro regs rarely even look at anything except VPIP/PFR/3b/CB/FtoCB, and don't change their play because of the numbers much anyway).
n00b q'n about my turn and river CBET percentages effect on villain behavior Quote

      
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