Quote:
Originally Posted by horseofhell
So let's say we have a 100bb pot and we bluff by putting in another 100bb. To break even we need this to work 50% of the time.
Lets say we assign villain a range of 100 combos of hands. If we expect villain will fold 50+ of these combos we can assume the bluff is profitable.
Is my logic here correct?
Sort of. The bluff doesn't depend on your range assignment, or your expectations, it depends on what the person actually does.
If the person actually folds more than 50% of the time, he's obviously folding more than 50% of his range and a pot-sized bluff is profitable.
Also just because something is +EV, doesn't mean it's best. Maybe he folds 40% of his range to a 1/3rd pot bet. Maybe he folds 90% to a slight over-bet.
