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Still time to buy gold imo. Still time to buy gold imo.

09-09-2011 , 06:12 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BurningSquirrel
What Deflation is in a fiat system is a lack of (private) debt, equaling declining demand for $$, representing a "distrust" in the monetary system. In that Scenario $$ going into Gold, will still happen, still drives the gold price.

Ultimately resulting in irrelevance of the $$, that is why deflation is so dangerous in this system since it ultimately leads to the downfall of the system.

It is not about supply of money it is also, as always about demand.

Hyperinflation can only result because of deflation - deflation in a free-monetar market is something different, though.


This is where all the gold is money people are going wrong imo. There is currently a lack of demand for private debt, but ultimately it will win out over gold because debt still maintains a free lunch illusion that gold can never attain.
09-09-2011 , 08:50 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by A_C_Slater
This is where all the gold is money people are going wrong imo. There is currently a lack of demand for private debt, but ultimately it will win out over gold because debt still maintains a free lunch illusion that gold can never attain.
Absolutely correct in that the 20th century fiduciary currency phenomenon is unlikely to be ended for centuries. And the reason given tying with the ability of G to control monetary policy using fiat.

But I think you miss one practical factor in the theory, and that is that we are in a highly globalised, yet still multi-national world. From this, the foreign states states are ultimately what makes gold money again in this day and age. the fact that none can control the debt-based fiat of others, and are asked to receive such currency as payment. It is here that gold as a sound money will play a role as ballast in the international monetary system.
09-09-2011 , 10:28 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Borodog
I understand the "free banking" types, but imo they are simply wrong that anyone would accept a pure, irredeemable fiat currency in the absence of legal tender laws forcing them to do so.



A) The gold supply is not fixed. It grows steadily every year and market forces ensure that the return to gold production is in line with the general ROI in the economy, and B) an appreciating currency does not threaten investment. We've been through this a million times.
1. nobody is actually forcing the use of fiat, and even legal tender. I understand that you think because there are laws against alternative currencies etc. but the truth is that somehow the demand for debt currency is pretty high.

2. I know that it is not "really fixed". But it pretty much is inflexible. An appreciating medium of exchange does certainly threaten investment - because it will become a store of value. I am really convinced by this freegold stuff at the moment because the separation of monetary roles are very important. And I honestly think that gold as money will always result in a gold standard because that's just what history tells us.

3. Gold will not be money - nobody would spent it. It is a store of value.
09-09-2011 , 10:32 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by A_C_Slater
This is where all the gold is money people are going wrong imo.
Yes - but a currency collaps (e.g of the dollar) is very much possible, when the conditions are as mentioned.

@ clowntable: What you say is correct, but the thing you forget is that it is not the market - currency relation I describe - it is the relation of medium of exchange and store of value. More precisely: Demand and supply will appreciate Gold (imagine people everywhere buying $$ as an investment, productivity and the good/money supply relation plays no role here)- this is what happened in the middle ages in Europe with gold and it pretty much slowed the **** out of the continent.

Last edited by BurningSquirrel; 09-09-2011 at 10:40 PM.
09-10-2011 , 12:14 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BurningSquirrel
1. nobody is actually forcing the use of fiat, and even legal tender. I understand that you think because there are laws against alternative currencies etc. but the truth is that somehow the demand for debt currency is pretty high.
come on. USD are used BECAUSE it is legal tender. it this wasn't the case no one would "demand" such a currency.

its sounds like you think people are choosing a debt based currency over an alternative. good joke.
09-10-2011 , 02:42 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BurningSquirrel
1. nobody is actually forcing the use of fiat, and even legal tender.
You. Are. Wrong. "This note is legal tender for all debts public and private." Try, for example, compelling someone to pay a debt to you in anything but dollars in the United States. Even if the debt was contracted in something other than dollars, for example ounces of gold. Government courts have ruled that you cannot demand specific performance in such cases. Legal tender laws and taxation create the fundamental demand for fiat currencies, and in the absence of those, the demand would quickly collapse. At least among those who are not idiots.

Quote:
I understand that you think because there are laws against alternative currencies etc. but the truth is that somehow the demand for debt currency is pretty high.
Because of legal tender and tax laws.

Quote:
2. I know that it is not "really fixed". But it pretty much is inflexible.
That's a good thing. What you really mean by "flexible" is "the ability of the monetary authority to get something for nothing by printing money."

Quote:
An appreciating medium of exchange does certainly threaten investment - because it will become a store of value.
WAT. That doesn't threaten investment, IT IS REQUIRED FOR INVESTMENT TO OCCUR.

Quote:
I am really convinced by this freegold stuff at the moment because the separation of monetary roles are very important.
The "separation of monetary roles" bit is ridiculous. The medium of exchange is the medium of exchange precisely because it is a good store of value. As soon as you break that connection and the medium of exchange ceases to be a good store of value (which it never is under a fiat regime, because the monetary authority can never keep from printing with abandon), then demand for it falls, and it would cease to be the medium of exchange in the absence of legal mandates. That's why it is called fiat. Because it is compelled upon the populace by legislative fiat.

Quote:
And I honestly think that gold as money will always result in a gold standard because that's just what history tells us.
Possibly. That's a separate issue. I always told J.R. that as long as governments are around and forcing people to accept their toilet paper that the next international monetary system may be something freegold-like; although if there is no redeemability for specie it will collapse in pretty short order. Because in that case there is essentially no difference between that and what we have now.

Quote:
3. Gold will not be money - nobody would spent it. It is a store of value.
You have to understand how ridiculous this is, right? Of course people will spend it. The question is, at what prices? Why store value if you are not eventually going to spend it? Why store your value in a form that cannot be spent. It's completely inane.
09-10-2011 , 02:49 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BurningSquirrel
1. nobody is actually forcing the use of fiat, and even legal tender. I understand that you think because there are laws against alternative currencies etc.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liberty_Dollar

Quote:
Von NotHaus was convicted of "making, possessing and selling his own coins" on March 18, 2011 in Statesville, North Carolina after a jury deliberated for less than two hours.[28] The jury found him guilty of one count under 18 U.S.C. § 485 and 18 U.S.C. § 2, one count of violating 18 U.S.C. § 486 and 18 U.S.C. § 2, and one count of conspiracy, under 18 U.S.C. § 371, to violate sections 485 and 486.[29]He faces up to 15 years in jail, a $250,000 fine, and may be forced to give $7 million worth of minted coins and precious metals to the government, weighing 16,000 pounds.[30] Attorney for the Western District of North Carolina, Anne M. Tompkins, described the Liberty Dollar as "a unique form of domestic terrorism" that is trying "to undermine the legitimate currency of this country".[31] The Justice Department press release quotes her as saying: "While these forms of anti-government activities do not involve violence, they are every bit as insidious and represent a clear and present danger to the economic stability of this country."[31]
09-10-2011 , 02:51 PM
Gresham's Law for Pete's sake.

WTF
09-10-2011 , 07:54 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by roblin
I knew that story and it is of course an atrocious reaction by the government and it really shows how weak the $ actually is.

Ah and Boro, why do you buy Gold, Land, Real Estate, if you do not want to spent it - it is INSANE!!

Also Fiat is loaned out for collateral - that is how it works - you cannot just shout: COUNTERFITTING and PRINTING in every discussion when really that is not what the discussion is about.

Also Price and Money correlate - what you say in your last paragraph pretty much shows that you also think in freegold terms - there is a price for gold - gold does not constitute the price.

Last edited by BurningSquirrel; 09-10-2011 at 08:04 PM.
09-11-2011 , 12:52 AM
I was bored, and haven't looked at bank closing in awhile so...

We only had 1 failed bank yesterday, things must be getting better right?

First Nat'l Bank of Florida had assets of $296.8M and deposits of $280.1. Nice healthy bank right? So why did it cost the FDIC $46.9M to close the bank? Thats a loss of ~20%! BUT WAIT! Thats the "estimated" costs for the FDIC, aka pretty number they made up. The FDIC entered into a loss-sharing agreement with the acquiring bank. Does anybody want to take the under @ $46.9M for the final "cost" of this failure?
09-11-2011 , 04:30 PM
Below is a Bloomberg article discussing a Greek default:

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-0...ro-credit.html

What effect would a Greek default have on the price of PMs?
09-11-2011 , 04:55 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BurningSquirrel
3. Gold will not be money - nobody would spent it. It is a store of value.
It's two sided. A weak currency that everyone wants to spend means nobody wants to work for it. Conversely, a strong currency means more people are willing to work for it.

Said another way: Would you rather work for gold or for fiat?
09-12-2011 , 03:24 PM
Personally I would prefere Gold, however the current fiat will be somewhat different from existing because even if it is still issued by the state, the currency has to be profitable and advantageuos to hold - if that is not happening most money will flow into gold - you may say well then Gold becomes money but the state will not let that happen since, as Borodog pointed out, taxing and monetary management will become very hard under a pure gold system. Where as on the other site in a non-central banking environment the interchanging demand for money will create a fiat that has many benefits for everyday use, including wages, for a large % of society - + there is still the tax/management issue.

That is only what I think- if you are a ACist however I can see how Gold is money, but since I do not think free-markets are beneficiary in Anarchism I do not think of that as an expected outcome.
09-12-2011 , 03:25 PM
1813 and 1800 for the low
09-12-2011 , 05:23 PM
Quote:
nobody is actually forcing the use of fiat, and even legal tender.
1) Paying taxes
2) Court rulings on contracts in non-legal tender currencies or currency alternatives not being enforcable
09-13-2011 , 07:09 PM
It's quiet. Too quiet.
09-13-2011 , 08:12 PM
Don't jinx it. If Greece defaults tomorrow I'm blaming your post
09-13-2011 , 09:54 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Borodog
It's quiet. Too quiet.
Great now I have to watch TMNT. Thanks.
09-13-2011 , 10:21 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by tolbiny
Great now I have to watch TMNT. Thanks.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_7P1z28mCwI
09-14-2011 , 11:10 AM
True story: I was almost in that movie.
09-14-2011 , 02:38 PM
trip report. did you get to at least meet Vanilla Ice?
09-14-2011 , 03:18 PM
Not a very interesting TR, I'm afraid. When I was 15 or 16 I registered with the employment security office (lol government etc) in Wilmington, NC where I grew up, which at the time had become sort of an east coast Hollywood, where a significant number of major motion pictures and television series were shot. The studios would apparently routinely hire up people from the ESO as extras and even for bit parts. I went down to the studio and interviewed, but never heard back, either from the studio or the ESO. I found out like 6 weeks later that the studio had informed the ESO that they had hired me, but ldo I was never informed. Thus ended my movie career.
09-15-2011 , 06:31 PM
Gold below 1800 now. History will say that this was the beginning of the end for the buggers. Looks like you guys will still have to work for a living. Oh the delicious irony, you all bought gold because you thought the government was out to give everyone a free lunch. But what fantasizes did you have playing in your head when you looked to hoard gold? A free lunch! Dreams of it going to 5k-8k an ounce then you could all quit your jobs and live the easy life. Get back to work slaves.
09-15-2011 , 07:36 PM
Even ignoring declining purchasing power, retiring after making a return of ~500% is probably not reasonable for most people.

edit: and everyone knows the buggers were defeated by Andrew Wiggin

Last edited by Bremen; 09-15-2011 at 08:03 PM.
09-15-2011 , 11:55 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by A_C_Slater
Gold below 1800 now. History will say that this was the beginning of the end for the buggers. Looks like you guys will still have to work for a living. Oh the delicious irony, you all bought gold because you thought the government was out to give everyone a free lunch. But what fantasizes did you have playing in your head when you looked to hoard gold? A free lunch! Dreams of it going to 5k-8k an ounce then you could all quit your jobs and live the easy life. Get back to work slaves.
So the economy is booming, the dollar is increasing in value, and the future looks bright for the U.S. and we're not going to get downgraded within the next few years? Also, from what I can tell, a fair amount of people were planning on hoarding it for several years. If this is sarcasm, though, you got me.

      
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