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Originally Posted by Mrmusicrecorder
So as silver outperforms gold, the overall trend for both is up and this is what we are assuredly betting on. If only to reduce volatility, then sure, but unless you expect silver to underperform gold going forward, this is not a good idea. The reason why I am heavy silver now compared to gold is outperformance, why would I swap the beast for the puppy. There is typically a cost with "swapping" your holdings.
I was just saying if you expected silver to have a larger pullback relative to gold before it continues its overall upward movements.
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I am curious how you think this may be a way to grow interest on your PM holdings?
I've never actually done it, but from the theory, silver is more volatile both up and down. So if you are in gold and silver takes a big swing down relative to gold, the opportunity to move/swap some of your gold into silver might allow you to increase the total amount of gold you own in a few months when silver balances out and regains more of it's typical trading ratio with gold, and vice versa. Of course you need to own enough to mitigate the costs associated with the swap. He had charts on the yearly gold silver ratio and at what ratios it starts becoming cost effective to attempt something like this. Like i said this isn't something you try to play with every week, but he had data showing that over the last 2 decades you could usually come out pretty well doing this once a year or so taking advantage of silvers more volatile nature compared to gold. (i could probably find more details on the ratios from the old newsletters if anyone is interested in the theory).
It acts like interest in that if you are successful; for example you own 100 1oz gold coins, silver pulls back and its trading ratio relative to gold increases. You take those 100 gold coins and sell them and buy 3000oz of silver(or whatever), a month or two later and silver has recovered more relative to gold and the ratio is smaller. You sell the 3000oz of silver but this time get 105 gold coins minus swapping/trading costs, now you have 5 more oz of gold that you didn't previously have by just swapping and taking advantage of the bigger swings in silver. You grew the total amount of PM you own, kind like an interest on them.
Last edited by Fedorfan; 04-26-2011 at 07:17 PM.