Quote:
Originally Posted by Da_Nit
Lol his going 0-3 yesterday in the early games including a -200+ bet on Montreal. He than claims he live bet Edmonton when they where 3 goals down for +650 who than came back and one won 4-3. He also bet Edmonton pregame. The +650 bet magically put him slightly above for the day.
The breakeven point of a -200 bet is 67%
200/ (200+100)
It's pretty optimistic to think Montreal can achieve a 67% winrate on the road, even against a team like the Sens. Montreal is 6-0-4 on the road this season, which is VERY lucky and VERY unsustainable.
There's also zero chance he bet the Oilers when down 3 goals, and a bet such as that would need at least +1400 to be profitable based on
this math.
If only he were as skeptical of his 0-3 days as he is optimistic about his 5-0 days or even his 2-2 days. How much longer before his bank account is suddenly "robbed" and he has to go find work again.