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nl25z straight vs turn x-raise on paired board nl25z straight vs turn x-raise on paired board

10-20-2014 , 05:16 PM
villain is unknown

[converted_hand][hand_history]Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $62.44 (249.8 bb)
BB: $26.70 (106.8 bb)
UTG: $25 (100 bb)
MP: $29.63 (118.5 bb)
CO: $24.80 (99.2 bb)
Hero (BTN): $44.93 (179.7 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with T Q
2 folds, CO raises to $0.85, Hero calls $0.85, 2 folds

Flop: ($2.05) 9 9 K (2 players)
CO checks, Hero bets $1.30, CO calls $1.30

Turn: ($4.65) J (2 players)
CO checks, Hero bets $3.33, CO raises to $14.43, Hero raises to $42.78, CO calls $8.22
nl25z straight vs turn x-raise on paired board Quote
10-20-2014 , 05:24 PM
Would need a really good read to fold IMO. Looks fine. He could have 9x or even Kx hands that we beat here.
nl25z straight vs turn x-raise on paired board Quote
10-20-2014 , 06:16 PM
Looks like you're beat by KK, 99, JJ quite often tbh. Still wouldn't fold probably. Hoping for a K or 8 river.
nl25z straight vs turn x-raise on paired board Quote
10-20-2014 , 06:27 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by YourVeryBestEnemy
Looks like you're beat by KK, 99, JJ quite often tbh.
I disagree:

99 (1 Combo)
JJ (3 Combos)
KK (3 Combos)

7 Combos that are ahead.

A9s (2 Combos)
TJs (2 Combos)
89s (2 Combos)
AdKd (1 Combo)

At least 7 Combos that are behind

QT (9 Combos)

9 Combos that tie and against which you have 2 Outs.

Thus, there are way more combos in villains range against hero is either ahead or ties with outs to the nuts. Well played.
nl25z straight vs turn x-raise on paired board Quote
10-20-2014 , 08:35 PM
This line reeks of a monster but I don't think you can fold. You even have nut outs
nl25z straight vs turn x-raise on paired board Quote
10-21-2014 , 02:26 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by $veno
I disagree:

99 (1 Combo)
JJ (3 Combos)
KK (3 Combos)

7 Combos that are ahead.

A9s (2 Combos)
TJs (2 Combos)
89s (2 Combos)
AdKd (1 Combo)

At least 7 Combos that are behind

QT (9 Combos)

9 Combos that tie and against which you have 2 Outs.

Thus, there are way more combos in villains range against hero is either ahead or ties with outs to the nuts. Well played.
You have to weight these combos imo. While it's quite common to check flopped top-full, flopped quads and flopped underpairs, checking draws like gutshots and vulnerable trips/TPs is neither common, nor a good play. AdKd could potentially check the flop, but why should he check-raise turn with that hand?
nl25z straight vs turn x-raise on paired board Quote
10-22-2014 , 01:18 AM
don't forget you have straight flush outs.

wp
nl25z straight vs turn x-raise on paired board Quote

      
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