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Set mining spot Set mining spot

01-28-2015 , 11:33 PM
Typically I'm folding pocket pairs vs squeeze, but I'm wondering if this would be a good spot to call?
It was anonymous table and I recently joined, no reads on players. MP looks like a huge fish given his limp/cold call.
Pot odds: If BTN folds: 24% or 1:3.21. If BTN calls: 19% or 1:4.21
Chance to flop a set is 11.8%.
So in terms of implied odds, if BTN folds: need to make 60€ post-flop, if BTN calls, only need to make 46€. Of course there will be set-over-set or some other bad scenarios, so those numbers need to be bigger.
I think in a big squeeze pot like this it's very easy to make a mistake. Say you squeeze AQ, flop top pair and cbet, hard to b/f right?
So would you call in this spot? Would you call pocket 22 here?
SB was a reg btw, and I like his flop play here. Interestingly he got it in behind with what looks like a best hand.

Microgaming - €1 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (CO): 104.55 BB
BTN: 142.8 BB
SB: 120.33 BB
BB: 101.5 BB
UTG: 159.13 BB
MP: 132.61 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 7 7

fold, MP calls 1 BB, Hero raises to 4 BB, BTN calls 4 BB, SB raises to 18 BB, fold, MP calls 17 BB, Hero calls 14 BB, BTN folds

Flop: (59 BB, 3 players) J T K
SB bets 102.33 BB and is all-in, MP calls 102.33 BB, fold

Turn: (263.66 BB, 2 players) 5

River: (263.66 BB, 2 players) 2

Spoiler:
SB shows K J (Two Pair, Kings and Jacks)
(Pre 26%, Flop 41%, Turn 59%)
MP shows K Q (One Pair, Kings)
(Pre 74%, Flop 59%, Turn 41%)
SB wins 260.66 BB
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01-29-2015 , 01:12 AM
With the MP in its fine
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01-29-2015 , 05:55 AM
^^ agree. SB hand kinda plays itself doesn't it?? Can't see what else he could do?

Last edited by Fatboy54; 01-29-2015 at 06:01 AM.
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01-29-2015 , 06:50 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Fishtankz
So would you call in this spot? Would you call pocket 22 here?
With 77 I usually call, because of the presence of the fish and having position, but it's closer than it looks. You need to call 14bb, which is quite a lot, given that set over set is more likely in multiway 3-bet pots and stacks are only 100bb. (I'd prefer 140bb+).
With 22, I wouldn't have iso-ed in the first place.
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