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Old 06-05-2020, 11:12 PM   #171
SwoopAE
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Join Date: Jul 2008
Location: Australia
Posts: 21,168
Re: Australian Sports Thread (AFL, NRL)

Two bets for the first game today not going huge but I do like them enough to bet

Manly +2.5 -110

A bit annoyed at missing the +4 earlier in the week but there's some mild steam there and I make it a pickem on paper. 2.5 still available at a lot of books but it's headed to 2 and may be headed to 1.5 at the sharper books and I make the sides almost exactly even on paper and while Parramatta are at home it's no fans and in the same city so I dont think the edge is worth 2.5, maybe 1.5. complete flip of a game so I take the dog with points.

Also taking u40.5 -111 these sides have had some shootouts in the past but both have solid defense and to be honest I'd make this total more like 38 because both sides can defend.

Market likes sharks for the second game but I'm leaving it alone for now unless there's insane movement as I have a small personal lean to cowboys even without taumalolo and Morgan. Sharks missing Townsend and xerri so not like they're full strength either and it is in Townsville.

Pending for today so far

Manly +2.5 -110
Manly/eels u40.5 -111
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