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Old 04-17-2020, 03:40 PM   #1808
suitedjustice's Avatar
Join Date: Nov 2008
Location: Inside my own heart.
Posts: 8,140
Re: Suitedjustice's Ongoing Mid-life Crisis

Not much to report lately. I'm down a few hundo on ACR, even though the tournaments are pretty juicy. That's the nature of tourneys: you keep plugging away at them until you hit a home run.

Not too many hands of interest. Tournament hands seem to offer less ambiguity, even at the higher stack depths. HUD stats take over for live reads, and they are generally quite accurate if you have enough hands on the player--so it's just a matter of looking at the numbers and adjusting your play accordingly--and then winning some flips later on.

Here's a hand from today that I think is a good example of the need to check stats before making a decision.

Yatahay Network - 30/60 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

MP: 166.53 BB
MP+1: 166.4 BB
MP+2: 197.18 BB
CO: 142.35 BB
Hero (BTN): 128.15 BB
SB: 165.4 BB
BB: 508.82 BB
UTG: 213.78 BB
UTG+1: 318.93 BB

9 players post ante of 0.13 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.7 BB) Hero has Q T

UTG calls 1 BB, fold, fold, MP+1 raises to 4.53 BB, fold, fold, Hero calls 4.53 BB, fold, fold, UTG calls 3.53 BB

Flop: (16.3 BB, 3 players) Q T 2
UTG checks, MP+1 checks, Hero bets 12.23 BB, UTG calls 12.23 BB, fold

Turn: (40.77 BB, 2 players) K
UTG checks, Hero checks

River: (40.77 BB, 2 players) 7
UTG bets 40.77 BB

Villain here has played 11 out of his first 21 hands. He's open/raised none of them and 3-bet none. He's just limped, called and limp/called. Normally 21 hands is weak sample size, but when they're playing 52/0 you can make some early assumptions.

I've been watching him postflop and haven't seen him put in a significant bet or raise.

Last edited by suitedjustice; 04-17-2020 at 03:46 PM.
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