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Old 08-04-2009, 03:06 PM   #521
jackwilcox
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Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: phuket, thailand
Posts: 9,843
Re: NL10 to NL200 experiment - finding a way to beat each limit

so my camtasia trial ended which is gay. i dont wanna buy the full programme so im gonna try and blag my sisters/ parents computer and downloaded a trial version on there to make some more vids...

however, there was 2 big hands from part 2 of the 25nl video which i want to share with you guys. there are both bluffs which go wrong, but they are still interesting. i really like my play in both hands and think i get unlucky - of course bluffs cant work every time - but it reiterates the need to just play solid poker at these levels i guess.

ok 1st hand:

UTG is super nit, playing like 10/6 after 90 hands or so.
UTG+1 is generic tag playing like 21/16.


Poker Stars $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

Hero (BB): $77.20
UTG: $32.60
MP: $26.70
CO: $25.00
BTN: $18.40
SB: $48.15

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is BB with T 9
UTG raises to $0.85, MP calls $0.85, 1 fold, BTN calls $0.85, SB calls $0.75, Hero calls $0.60

standard flat with T9s. plays well multiway and im getting good pot odds.

Flop: ($4.25) 2 T 2 (5 players)
SB checks, Hero checks, UTG bets $2.50, MP calls $2.50, BTN folds, SB folds,

so UTG makes a standard cbet on a super dry board which i expect him to do with his entire range. while he is 10/6, he is still opening hands like AK/ AQ UTG which i beat.
UTG+1's flat pre flop would lead me to assume he is mainly set mining. occasionally slowplaying a big hand, but mainly his range will be 22-JJ, AJs+, KQs, a couple hands like JTs etc too. when he flats flop, i assume his range to be 22, 77-JJ, Tx.

so its back round to me with top pair. i could call here, but that puts me in a real tough spot on turns and rivers as im going to have to fold to any further action, and calling *hoping* to check it down is just really bad especially out of position (and is a mistake i think a lot of players make).

so i decide to turn my hand into a bluff. note that card combinations mean there is only 1 combo each of 22 and TT. i dont think 2x is in either of their ranges for obvious reasons. on the other hand, i can very credibly represent 2x since i can be flatting a super wide range in big blind with those pot odds. i think they both have to fold Tx or overpairs to a raise here and even if they dont fold overpairs, then the times UTG has AK or something means that i should get enough folds anyway.

i raise to $8.50. pot is about $9. so my bluff has to was around 50% of the time to break even, and with the strength i am showing, coupled with the really narrow range of hands that can continue vs a raise, im going to show a profit in this spot.

Hero raises to $8.50, UTG folds, MP raises to $16.25, Hero folds

unfortunately it goes wrong but what can i do. sometimes bluffs dont work, it doesnt mean that it was a terrible mistake to try.

again, the reason why flatting is bad, is because i am behind anyone who has a T or better, and therefore i dont think a call is going to be profitable in the long run due to the amount of times im behind to a hand like JT.
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