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Originally Posted by Mike Johnson
I read the blog but haven't listened to the audio version.
Mike,
I think you've made an unfair assessment of my blog, and I want to take the time to reply. Let me state right away that I have a lot of respect for you and Adam and highly enjoy your show, especially having been a guest in the past. That is why I took your comments so closely to heart.
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I'm surprised more haven't taken issue with the fact that his arguments are based on the following very dangerous assumptions
1) everthing in the indictment is true and accurate
2) everything in the indictment applies to each of the poker sites named equally
Why are they very dangerous? Because in the online poker world we live in a media environment where people are often hesitant to speak poorly of the sites? What am I, a lowly blogger, going to affect that is so dangerous?
If I, or any part of the mainstream media, need to wait for alleged crimes to play their way out in a courtroom before passing judgment or analyzing corporate actions, then plenty of other people need scorn. Would you have made the same criticisms of those deriding Bernie Madoff? Ken Lay? The group at Lehman Brothers? Of course not, because after the indictments dropped on them, the evidence made them appear patently guilty. That is also the case here.
Was there a greater than 0 chance that they were not-guilty? Yes. Was it high? Absolutely not. Do we, as the public, need to be silent because of that non-zero chance? I sure hope not, or we'll all be sitting on our hands for a while.
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The way I see it, the problem with the indictment is that it blanketly names a number of defendents that represent 3 different poker sites and a few PP companies, followed by a list of charges. What the DOJ doesn't specifically do, is indicate who they are accusing of doing what.
To answer this point, I honestly wonder if you read the indictment. The indictment generally sums up some crimes, but also points to specific evidence attributed to each site. I don't understand how you can think otherwise.
It's also worth saying, as a side-note, that in order for the burden of a criminal conspiracy to be met, conspirators don't even need to know of the existence or identities of other partner conspirators. This can differ jurisdiction to jurisdiction, but I assume is the case here.
However, here, in most cases they did know of each other. Because the indictment lumps them all together and says "the conspirators/defendants did this" does not mean one or the other may be exempted. It means exactly what the government is alleging: that they all did it.
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We can't just casually ignore the fact that
1) no one has been convicted of anything
2) no one knows which of the accusations even apply to which companies.
I don't casually ignore those facts. Instead, I actually address your criticisms in your post and write out why I am able to be so bold.
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Do people really think Stars and Tilt were working together hand in hand with the banking and payment processing decisions? Painting everyone so early with such a wide-sweeping brush when we still know VERY LITTLE about the details of the charges is irresponsible IMO.
I don't think they were working together every step of the way, but the indictment does allege some collusion. However, the collusion is a small part of the greater crimes. Whether they were working together or not, the facts are that they did bad things.
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I wasn't a fan of Karak saying 'allegedly, I guess' in his written piece with kind of a wink wink 'we know each site is clearly guilty of everything listed in the indictment' tone nor the general idea of lumping Stars and Tilt together in his headline as if they are one company who likely operated in an identical fashion. One company could be far more guilty of the things that are accused(and yes I'm aware it could certainly by Stars) but to treat any of the parties involved as if they were partners in crime or equally resposible for what has happened just because they were listed in the same indictment is wrong IMO.
For this logic to hold, you must believe the DOJ blindly threw darts at a dartboard and just randomly indicted any company which COULD have committed the acts, rather than indicting the companies which the evidence suggested actually DID do it.
The DOJ does not lightly indict. They did not casually pick Stars, FTP, and UB/AP. They picked all 3 because they had strong evidence of all 3 committing these crimes.
Also, to say there aren't specific allegations or there is "such little information" is incorrect. I am currently reading
a FIFTY-TWO page indictment while writing this post FULL of evidence of each site specifically doing things. (See:
http://www.fox5vegas.com/download/20...5/27562410.pdf)
I have picked an example from PokerStars since, for whatever reason, you seem to be defending (defending is perhaps not the right word, but advocating on the behalf of) them more heavily than any other site.
From the indictment:
For example, in or around February 2009, two gamblers ("Gambler 1" and "Gambler 2") made e-check payments to Pokerstars and received e-mails immediately thereafter from Pokerstars that "oneshopcnter" and "mygolflocations," respectivly, would appear as the party initiating the charge on their respective bank statements.
From the next paragraph:
...Gambler 1 and Gambler 2 sent e-mails to purported customer service addresses listed by oneshopcenter.com and mygolflocation.com regarding attempts to purchase particular items. Gambler 1 and Gambler 2 recived responses not from those websites, but from individuals identifying themselves as customer service employees of Pokerstars replying from e-mail addresses associated with Pokerstars. (Page 16-17)
The indictment goes on to produce a
POKERSTARS DOCUMENT expressing difficulty tracking all the phony merchants they are created. (Page 17).
Then the indictment states:
To address the issue, PokerStars modified its software so, where possible, a consistent phony descriptor would appear n the bank statements of a given U.S. customer. (Page 17)
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The way I see it, the problem with the indictment is that it blanketly names a number of defendents that represent 3 different poker sites and a few PP companies, followed by a list of charges. What the DOJ doesn't specifically do, is indicate who they are accusing of doing what.
As you can see, Mike, this is patently false.
Furthermore, the evidence is overwhelming. Either the DOJ fabricated it or it's real. Your choice. I'm gunna go with the DOJ on this one.
Additionally, the DOJ had a conviction rate of near 95% in 2009 (and this rate holds for most years). In 2009, 94.1% of the DOJ's cases (all districts) ended in a conviction. (Source:
http://abclocal.go.com/wls/story?sec...cal&id=7593302) I have heard figures citing SDNY's conviction rate on financial fraud cases is near 98%, but I don't have authority to site for that beyond this (and it's unclear what sort of financial fraud they mean):
http://www.whoswholegal.com/news/fea...ious-fraud-uk/.
And here, on top of that, we have overwhelming evidence. Some of which we all PERSONALLY know is true. The definition of the crimes is pretty damn clear. Bribery, money laundering and bank fraud are wrong. Lying to banks is wrong. And the indictment goes to painful lengths not only covering the core case of each crime, but also pointing to SPECIFIC evidence for EACH site.
So either I can sit here and rest on the <5% chance they beat this, or I can speak out on the 95+% chance that they are convicted. The odds are actually quite a bit higher considering the weight of the indictment and the other context clues provided (they are likely to take a plea deal, for example). Looking at past and present similar cases also lends support for the DOJ's position (see: PartyGaming). Finally, we, as players, simply have seen some of this evidence ourselves in the past few months.
As for your comment that I alleged every single thing in the indictment was true and they were guilty of it, I never did such a thing. In fact, I've quite adamantly stated that it's a shame we won't get to test the UIGEA in court (seeing if it applies or not to poker play) as this case will likely result in a plea deal.
I hope you don't take offense to this post, but I simply must respond to allegations that I was being "dangerous" or irresponsible with my blog posts. There is lots of evidence that I am not.
I use the term "alleged" in this post a lot, because that's just the term of art. But if we, as the general public, may not condemn people who have very clearly done wrong or discuss the gravity of their actions, then we must sit on our hands while a lenghty court case plays out.
During that time player funds will be locked up (FTP and UP/AB, but all Stars payments haven't cleared yet, obviously) and people overseas and in the international audience will be depositing in those companies. Should those people have to wait for a trial to conclude before they get the information that they need, especially when the odds (as gamblers, we should understand this) are so high (and in my opinion 99.9%) that they are dealing with companies who did severe criminal wrongs in the US system?
Last edited by Karak; 04-28-2011 at 02:06 AM.