Open Side Menu Go to the Top
Register
Prop Bet:  costanza_g to win ,000 over 31 days at 1/2 NL. Prop Bet:  costanza_g to win ,000 over 31 days at 1/2 NL.

05-07-2008 , 02:03 AM
im surprised he hasnt started looking for buyouts
05-07-2008 , 02:07 AM
I doubt anyone would accept.
05-07-2008 , 02:07 AM
all in all even if he doesnt win the bet he wont be losing much imo. hes up what like 8k already? if he doesnt give up and plays at worst break even poker..... (which seems like he wont) he will make enough to cover his 15k loss and a ton of vpp which are worth something. not rooting against him obviously, just stating that hes not gonna come out empty handed or negative.......
05-07-2008 , 02:13 AM
Well the counter would be what if he is making more at the limits he normally plays? Then I would say it probably is not worth it for him to continue.
05-07-2008 , 02:17 AM
glad to see he has stopped reading this thread, it must be hard enough without him having to listened to the commentary team argue over ever bowel movement he has.

gogogogo Costanza keep going!! 2 super hot days and this whole monkey changes!!
05-07-2008 , 02:32 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SimaoMacaco

gogogogo Costanza keep going!! 2 super hot days and this whole monkey changes!!
YEAAAAAH!

amd then he has another bad day...........and right back to here
05-07-2008 , 02:52 AM
all about performance under pressure. kobe MVP!!! lol, cause lebron cant send it to OT. TYforplaying.
05-07-2008 , 02:55 AM
Day 11:





05-07-2008 , 03:04 AM
Constanza, you can still do it! Few good run days and you'll get there. Can you provide us with the current graph including every hand?
05-07-2008 , 03:13 AM
I'm quite surprised he chose to do this on FR. I thought he was a 6-max player... You can 8-10 table 6-max for a similar # of hands/hr and maintain a similar $/100 hands even at .5/1. Games are also much better and its easy to game select when 8-10 tabling
05-07-2008 , 03:15 AM
i think the consensus was that it would be easier to do this at 6max
05-07-2008 , 05:05 AM
since he's a 6m regular, i think it was important to the people providing action that it was done at full ring. additionally, i believe the circumstances that started this bet happened at a full ring table.
05-07-2008 , 06:50 AM
anyone have the complete tally so far?
05-07-2008 , 07:12 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ackbleh
First 7 days: $8645
Day 8: -$660
day 9: $145
day 10: $238
day 11: $684
----------------
11 days, $9052

20 days left to make $30,948.... $1547/day
05-07-2008 , 07:15 AM
thanks xerxes
05-07-2008 , 11:58 AM
Why is he cutting-back so much on the hands/day? Is he even making an effort to win this thing anymore?
05-07-2008 , 03:01 PM
9k in 11 days ain't bad at all. I always thought it was a losing prop but I'd still love to see constanza pull some sick ****. He's not going to go down w/o a fight
05-07-2008 , 03:05 PM
That's what I was thinking.

At 7k hands per day his winrate would have to be pretty high to pull this off.
He might be 'taking it easy' because he's a bit burnt out and setting it up for some big push later. But I'm also a bit surprised he isn't putting in more hands to give himself a better chance.
05-07-2008 , 03:27 PM
Possibly play less during the week/non-optimal times and be more mentally prepared for a long weekend slog?
05-07-2008 , 03:38 PM
yeah. But I don't think he played a ton during this past weekend either.
I just think he's kind of burnt out. But maybe by this weekend he'll put together some 15k hand sessions or something to try to make up for it.
If he's going to do it that way though he'll almost have to have some $3k days when he does this.
05-07-2008 , 03:39 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Berge20
Possibly play less during the week/non-optimal times and be more mentally prepared for a long weekend slog?
That would be wise
`
He has to maximize his hours between Friday 1PM to Monday 3-4AM I think
05-07-2008 , 04:00 PM
webcam is up, looks like hes 10 tabling wtf
05-07-2008 , 04:04 PM
he ending session he was at 18 when i sarched him
05-07-2008 , 04:28 PM
i say he has a 5% chance of winning the bet
05-07-2008 , 04:32 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by slammedfire
i say he has a 5% chance of winning the bet
so are you taking bets at 20:1?

      
m