Prop Bet: costanza_g to win $40,000 over 31 days at 1/2 NL. - Page 33 - Small Stakes Full Ring Games

Yeah um in case you missed it I was one of the people who said I'm not sure it could be done and then the prop bet was formed. You'll also see I bet against it. So to my knowledge it has not been done or if it has been done it'd be pretty hard to maintain. Sounds like you've already given someone credit for doing this.

Also I was commenting on the volume....

05-05-2008 , 03:04 AM

#802

coordi

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 21,806

He has strict boundaries he has to adhere to while achieving this number of hands. The pressure of HAVING to produce results would be more wearing than actually putting in the hands imo.

05-05-2008 , 03:12 AM

#803

MicroBob

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2003 Posts: 61,575

lucid - And doing that on 9-12 tables as he's been doing lately and getting only 800 or so hands per hour perhaps is going to make that extremely difficult to do.

Looks like he did take the advice to take a bit of a break though. He wasn't on tonight that I saw.
I fully expect him to come back with a vengeance and be all rested up for a marathon week.

05-05-2008 , 03:23 AM

#804

chopsticks

old hand

Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 1,573

Im holding my thumbs up for Costanza. Following a crazy marathon like this is extremely interesting and shows how much there is money waiting for someone to grab if youre dedicated. Imo ~$9k+RB week at NL1/2 is already something and proves that $40k is doable.

05-05-2008 , 03:28 AM

#805

PartysOver

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Oct 2006 Posts: 5,970

rb/bonuses are not included. if they were this would be so much easier

05-05-2008 , 03:31 AM

#806

chopsticks

old hand

Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 1,573

Quote:

Originally Posted by PartysOver

rb/bonuses are not included. if they were this would be so much easier

I know, but the results he has made already are a reason to brag. 10k+ week in NL1/2 is solid.

05-05-2008 , 06:57 AM

#807

sinobrody

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2007 Posts: 570

just saw this thread

tough mission, gl man

05-05-2008 , 10:26 AM

#808

ryanmack

veteran

Join Date: Oct 2006 Posts: 2,892

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kelisitaan

Also, 3 buyins over 8k hands at 1/2 is a significant downswing...I've been playing much higher stakes than 1/2 and have had no more than 4-5 losing days per month for the entire year, and I'm 90% positive I've been running below expectation. Not saying this to brag, but if someone is +EV enough to actually do this prop bet, they should have very little/no downswings throughout the period, let alone a "20 buyin downswing"

does anyone that read this ofund this crazymy last 8k hands im down 10bi's

05-05-2008 , 10:49 AM

#809

ForumUser

adept

Join Date: Apr 2008 Posts: 885

Quote:

Originally Posted by ryanmack

does anyone that read this ofund this crazymy last 8k hands im down 10bi's

Lol keli is a god

05-05-2008 , 11:57 AM

#810

Talgamer13

centurion

Join Date: Jan 2008 Posts: 152

Quote:

Originally Posted by ryanmack

does anyone that read this ofund this crazymy last 8k hands im down 10bi's

Keli doesn't know what a downswing is because however bad he runs is made up by the fact that people shove random garbage against him when he has the nuts all the time. Coupling that with how much he is winning from outplaying people in smaller pots makes it really hard for him to have a losing day.

05-05-2008 , 11:57 AM

#811

ChipRick

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 4,179

Quote:

Originally Posted by ryanmack

does anyone that read this ofund this crazymy last 8k hands im down 10bi's

what

05-05-2008 , 12:06 PM

#812

Talgamer13

centurion

Join Date: Jan 2008 Posts: 152

Quote:

Originally Posted by ryanmack

does anyone that read this ofund this crazymy last 8k hands im down 10bi's

does anyone who read this find it crazy that over my last 8k hands i'm down 10 buy ins?

Referencing when keli said that losing 3buyins over 8k hands is a significant downswing

05-05-2008 , 12:34 PM

#813

mab812

adept

Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 1,178

Quote:

Originally Posted by ryanj9352

you can't just comment on volume....and compare it to the regs who are currently putting in hands at 1/2. There's a majro difference when costanza has to generate 40k in profits while puttin in the hands.

hence, you can't just comment on volume.

05-05-2008 , 12:38 PM

#814

ryanj9352

journeyman

Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 389

Quote:

Originally Posted by ryanmack

does anyone that read this ofund this crazymy last 8k hands im down 10bi's

I mean it's possible to run that bad...are you playing well and getting in good? Or playing bad and spewing?

05-05-2008 , 02:37 PM

#815

futuredoc85

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 11,150

8k hands is nothing, and it doesnt say anything about your true winrate.

05-05-2008 , 03:09 PM

#816

AdamSchwartz

Shippy McShiperson

Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 8,521

Can someone please put up a cliffnotes for those that missed the last few hundred posts?

05-05-2008 , 03:27 PM

#817

muttiah

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2004 Posts: 24,557

costanza up around 6k so far but he's starting to question himself! Kelistann, Bobbo and others discuss future prop bets

05-05-2008 , 05:36 PM

#818

kilmarta

adept

Join Date: Aug 2007 Posts: 985

did he take today off? if so with the holiday in europe is this a bad idea?

05-05-2008 , 05:43 PM

#819

Smart Money

adept

Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 1,180

Quote:

Originally Posted by Isura

costanza up around 6k so far but he's starting to question himself! Kelistann, Bobbo and others discuss future prop bets

I think it's +$8k after 9 days.

05-05-2008 , 05:43 PM

#820

ryanj9352

journeyman

Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 389

Quote:

Originally Posted by mab812

the 40k in profit hasn't been done yet and everyone was commenting on the amount of hands.

hecnce, I can comment on the volume because that's what everyone was slurpin about

05-05-2008 , 05:55 PM

#821

ryanmack

veteran

Join Date: Oct 2006 Posts: 2,892

Quote:

Originally Posted by ryanj9352

I mean it's possible to run that bad...are you playing well and getting in good? Or playing bad and spewing?

playing fine and loosing maybe im jsut blessed with higher variance then normal

05-05-2008 , 05:59 PM

#822

newschool2

banned

Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 5,291

I wonder win hell give up and move back up to normal stakes whilst still in the Given month for the bet. Be interesting to see an ev calc of when giving up mid challenge and moving up to your normal limit is optimal. someone who can actually write down numbers.......and make some sense of them........gogogogogog.