Quote:
Originally Posted by ZuluWarrior
isn't it a one more reason to see a flop?
But your decision shouldn't be based on number of reasons, you should total up the ev's. And the ev of hitting the bbj when seeing a flop with T9s relies on:
1. making a straight flush
2. someone else hitting quad 8's or better (or is it 7's? idk)
Since the bbj is at 700k or w/e and we're actually more likely to win the hand than lose the hand with a straight flush even when we do hit the bbj we end up making like 200k average maybe? I think that's high.
So I'm assuming this is at least 2 million:1 against (could be wrong but assuming it's much worse odds) but even if it's only 2 million:1 against that means the ev of seeing all 5 cards is 10c. Even at 100nl most preflop decisions usually will have ev changes of more than 10c.
I just can't believe regs are using the logic of hitting the bbj and heavily over-estimating the effect, I thought it was just fish who believed they were the ones that could actually hit the lotto.