Quote:
Originally Posted by MeleaB
I think players over-estimate the value of 3- and 4-betting certain hands in spots like this versus bad players. Either way, whether they out-weigh the benefits of bloating the pot pre-flop or not, there are- I think- without doubt several merits to choosing to just call pre that are at least worthy of consideration but most seem to ignore.
AQs does not have a massive equity advantage over villain's range. Much of the value of this hand against most opponents comes from fold equity and not allowing villain to realise his equity. That value is reduced versus certain player types who have a high WTSD, whereas the value of other similar strength hands (such as JJ) increases against these players and are much better hands to 3-/4-bet with.
Imagine that your opponent knows you have AK/AQ once you have raised them pre, and plays his hand accordingly. That is pretty much how lots of these fish play their range, so actually having those hands isn't as +EV as you may imagine. (E.g. Every day you 3-bet, fish calls, you triple barrel on Txxxx with KK and they call you down with QT, and those hands perfectly demonstrate that fact.)
The main advantage though is that these big fish allow you to lose small pots when you're beaten and to bloat the pot quickly when you're ahead, so you can risk very little to win their stack.
I was going by the information given in your initial post (i.e. "russian whale"). Against "russian whale" we have "massive equity advantage over villain's range" and everything with regards to "imagine that your opponent knows..." pretty much flies out the window, because "russian whale", lol.
You 4b: You're IP vs. whale with a great hand, being the far better player with SPR that favours you etc...
You flat: You're vs. 2 players, only one of which you have position on and you allow them to realize equity etc...
On top of that, we don't even need a "massive equity advantage" for 4-betting being the best play, you are only advocating a low-variance/small-ball approach. This situation, given the information we have, is as clear-cut as it is in Razz when you get dealt A23... You're ahead of villain (i.e. his range), so you cap the betting (i.e. you 4b).
IMHO
Last edited by Barry Urinstein; 07-25-2014 at 10:36 AM.