Quote:
Originally Posted by purrretrog
He is semi correct about EV, AIEV actually shows very little as far as your winrate/overall expectation in the game is concerned, he just explained it poorly. There is a reason the only people who complain about AIEV variance are predominately fish/weak regs(post 2010).
What I find more alarming is that hes claiming to play ~70k hands of MSNL/month, and gets tilted/can remember very well, a pretty mundane hand where he lost a 400bb pot to a fish from a year ago.
well i can remember phone numbers i havent dialed since the 90s, so remembering times where i got unlucky and lost money isnt hard, hell i can remember hands from 2005 and tell you all the action if you really wanna hear them, i am ******ed in some ways, memory isnt one of them
i get tilted because i hate to lose at anything, its worse when i lose money, and its worse when im basically telling people i have them crushed and they are to stupid to know and then they take my money
for those that are to dense to figure out what i am talking about
: if you are short stacking plo and you limp repot and get it all in as your main strategy then all in ev means everything, you are just sitting there flipping coins the whole time with no other real play going on
when i play holdem i turn it into a preflop game, my late street decisions are already made for me after the person has made there bad calls preflop/flop, im not sitting there running QQ vs AK flips all day, im basically never running those, and never running any flips at all really, i am getting people to make bad calls on early streets and then betting for value on all later streets and for the most part never folding except for a few rare instances (QJ109Q board with AA, fun times)
so anyways what i am saying is, when you are just getting all in and running races all in ev tells you a lot, when you bloat pots and get it in after the real decisions have been made in the hand then it means very little at all
note: i havent said anything about running good or running bad on 888, there are some places where i am sure i ran bad (venetian plo limp repotting) but with the volume i put in on 888 (when i am really playing) i probably run to expectation...... its just i have huge rushes and long droughts based on how i run at that particular time, but long term its probably about even