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Clueless kid moving to Manila - Never been to Asia before Clueless kid moving to Manila - Never been to Asia before

05-12-2017 , 12:22 AM
Is "whaha" Tagalog or just girlspeak?

Quote:
if you want to add a prop bet on the over/under on her announcing you she's late for her periods, I have a short bias for that one
c'mon you're just trolling now haha
Clueless kid moving to Manila - Never been to Asia before Quote
05-12-2017 , 12:26 AM
I propose the following prop bet to anyone reading willing to accept it:

In 7 weeks starting from 5/12/2017, I need to:
  • lose at least 6% body fat
  • play 162 hours from 5/12 - 5/31
  • play 200 hours from 6/1 - 6/30
  • win at least $600 (15 BI) pre-rakeback in the progress of completing above hours objectives

Odds will be 6-1 which seems realistic given how near-impossible it seems for me to succeed. Most people ITT are saying there's no way I can reach 200 hours but instead of listening to them I'm making the challenge even harder by now having to play 162h in only 20 days, adding an extra 200h in June and doing all that simultaneously to a very rough diet to lose 6% body fat in 7 weeks which means even more stress on body and mind and even higher chance of failure.

I'll take bets from min. your $60 vs my $10 to max. your $600 vs my $100.

Anyone has the chance to bet from today till 5/17. Obv I won't update my poker and diet progress till 5/17 while registration to the prop bet is still open.

Escrow will be jspill or any other reputable 2+2 member.

More details/terms:

Prop bet starts 5/12 at 10pm PHT and ends 6/30 at 10pm PHT. As I'm posting this it hasn't started yet and I'm still at zero hours and zero profit.

Determination of hours played: Bluegrassplayer has agreed to be the unbiased judge for counting the hours via Teamviewer by looking at the logs of hands played. The logs are directly on the poker site and show times and dates of all individual hands I play.

Determination of winnings pre-rakeback: The poker site has logs showing daily winnings/losses that I'll show you and Bluegrassplayer via teamviewer to check for yourself.

Decision whether I succeed or fail the losing 6% body fat challenge: As body fat is hard to measure, I'm posting video footage (proving it's not photoshopped) of myself holding a current newspaper (proving it's not old footage). By 6/30 10pm I must post the same type of video footage with same lighting conditions and same camera angle. Bluegrassplayer will be the unbiased judge to estimate my body fat % of 5/12 (video below) and 6/30, using below body fat chart for reference. For example if I'm now 18% I need to go down to 12% or less. It's up to his judgement what my current body fat % is.



Starting point on first day of the bet (today):



To take the bet, reply and say your amount you want to bet. I'll quote it and accept it within 12 hrs, then we escrow the bets to jspill via Skrill, Bitcoin, Paypal or any other payment options jspill accepts.

Last edited by Bluegrassplayer; 05-12-2017 at 09:09 PM.
Clueless kid moving to Manila - Never been to Asia before Quote
05-12-2017 , 12:37 AM
I ll take your entire action at 3.5 to 1 ; if others want to bid higher; good for you

and each of the lines you say is an independant goal like the may hours are not to be combined into may+june
Clueless kid moving to Manila - Never been to Asia before Quote
05-12-2017 , 12:44 AM
6-1 is final.

I'm not gonna massively hurt my EV at the poker tables by doing this prop bet (and chances that I'll win the prop bet are still extremely slim) for less than 6-1.

Quote:
Originally Posted by bernie68
and each of the lines you say is an independant goal like the may hours are not to be combined into may+june
Yes, they are 4 independent goals, and I have to achieve all 4 of them or I lose the bet.

Last edited by Info Shove; 05-12-2017 at 01:01 AM.
Clueless kid moving to Manila - Never been to Asia before Quote
05-12-2017 , 12:47 AM
well; it's a free marketplace

your 100 for 350 ; if people want to give you 6/1 action for more than symbolic sums, I ll be surprised

at 6/1 I am happy to join your side on the offer if the order book gets larger interest !
so the present market for your prop bet is 3.5 to 6 100 x 200 for present bid and ask sizes

Last edited by bernie68; 05-12-2017 at 01:08 AM.
Clueless kid moving to Manila - Never been to Asia before Quote
05-12-2017 , 01:42 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ITT666
Plates?? Jeez, not only is she clingy, but now this chick is getting Hi - So on you too.

I don't know man, sounds like it's time to dump her to me.
what getting Hi means? Why would it be time to drop her?
Clueless kid moving to Manila - Never been to Asia before Quote
05-12-2017 , 01:43 AM
I'll have more than $100 that I'm willing to bet, especially if I keep running this good at poker hehe. Registration closes on 5/17 at 10pm PHT.

Anyway I won't give away free info till 5/17 so registering late won't give any advantage.

Last edited by Info Shove; 05-12-2017 at 02:00 AM.
Clueless kid moving to Manila - Never been to Asia before Quote
05-12-2017 , 01:49 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by LonelyBox
what getting Hi means? Why would it be time to drop her?
Hi - So, short for High Society. Essentially a Hi - So girl is the same thing as a high maintenance girl.

Has it really been that long since we had our last Hi - So girl discussion that you were not yet a member here Lonelybox? Perhaps it has been.

Obviously in this case I was mostly joking, since she was just asking about plates. Although her behavior is already starting to go in some directions that should be raising some red flags for InfoShove imo.
Clueless kid moving to Manila - Never been to Asia before Quote
05-12-2017 , 02:14 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Info Shove
I'll have more than $100 that I'm willing to bet, especially if I keep running this good at poker hehe. Registration closes on 5/17 at 10pm PHT.

Anyway I won't give away free info till 5/17 so registering late won't give any advantage.
I infer from your post, the size is getting larger on the offer
size price size
bid 100 3.5 6 300 ask


the market is getting heavy on the offer, better hit that bid while it's there
Clueless kid moving to Manila - Never been to Asia before Quote
05-12-2017 , 02:19 AM
I don't understand your post but the answer remains 'No'. I won't go lower than 6-1. I'm pretty sure 3.5 to 1 is a -EV bet for me, my chance to win the bet is extremely slim. Maybe 10%, what do you guys think?
Clueless kid moving to Manila - Never been to Asia before Quote
05-12-2017 , 02:21 AM


I'm glad I finally told her this is not ok
Clueless kid moving to Manila - Never been to Asia before Quote
05-12-2017 , 02:21 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Info Shove
I don't understand your post but the answer remains 'No'. I won't go lower than 6-1. I'm pretty sure 3.5 to 1 is a -EV bet for me, my chance to win the bet is extremely slim. Maybe 10%, what do you guys think?
If you think you only have a 10% chance of winning then 6-1 is also a -ev bet for you to make.
Clueless kid moving to Manila - Never been to Asia before Quote
05-12-2017 , 02:25 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ITT666
If you think you only have a 10% chance of winning then 6-1 is also a -ev bet for you to make.
Obviously I think it's over 10% hence I'm making the bet but I wanna know what you think. I may be biased/deluded.
Clueless kid moving to Manila - Never been to Asia before Quote
05-12-2017 , 02:41 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Info Shove
Obviously I think it's over 10% hence I'm making the bet but I wanna know what you think. I may be biased/deluded.
What I think doesn't matter all that much, as I'm never taking either side of the bet no matter what the odds. I have a personal principal that I really only ever bet on myself, something I'm doing, something I have control over my performance in. I don't bet on other people's performance in something unless it's literally a gimme bet.

Like if I could get even money on the Golden State Warriors to beat some random High School team I'd take that bet, and I've actually taken even money bets that were essentially that good in the past. But aside from absurd situations like that I don't bet on other people's performances in anything, only on my own.

All that being said, from what I've seen it's usually not a good idea to bet against someone doing something when they are the ones telling you what they will do and creating all the circumstances and parameters for just exactly how they will do it.

If it wasn't for the GF, I'd say betting against you at 6-1 here is a terrible idea and should only be made by those who like to burn/donate money.

The GF makes it much more interesting though and so perhaps even 6-1 should be taken.
Clueless kid moving to Manila - Never been to Asia before Quote
05-12-2017 , 02:45 AM
Asked jspill to escrow since I don't have skill, netteller etc. If it's done by paypal or crypto I'd be happy to

A few clarifications I'd like made since I'm arbitrating: limits need to be agreed upon for what hands can be played at. I don't think it would be a problem but with the way rules are written now it's possible you go on a rush get up enough and then just blind away at 1c 2c for 100 hours, or the opposite could happen: you get the hours in but are down and with a few hours left you jump into 5 10. All hands need to be played at a set limit(s).

For weigh in: you absolutely must eat and drink water and NOT drink any alcohol the day before weigh in. I'd also request that you send another video 2 days after to make sure that your bf% looks about the same.

This is not a 2p2 sanctioned event etc etc.
Clueless kid moving to Manila - Never been to Asia before Quote
05-12-2017 , 02:57 AM
I think you have more chance getting your dick cut than winning that bet babe
Clueless kid moving to Manila - Never been to Asia before Quote
05-12-2017 , 02:58 AM
I don't think there will be any takers for more than 3:1 tbh, although I'm fairly sure you'll lose the fitness challenge regardless.

Also you're on your way to being her ***** already. Asian girls are power grabbing pros.

Threatening anyone with violence is not cute and just makes her look like a crazy ***** that will come down to your place and stab you to death when you don't text back in an hour.

I personally would ditch her as this screams trouble.

Ask k2d about setting clear expectations.
Clueless kid moving to Manila - Never been to Asia before Quote
05-12-2017 , 03:03 AM
Wait till she found that thread like the other guy girl found the Vietnam tft thread lol
Clueless kid moving to Manila - Never been to Asia before Quote
05-12-2017 , 03:06 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by iLiveInAsia
I don't think there will be any takers for more than 3:1 tbh, although I'm fairly sure you'll lose the fitness challenge regardless.

Also you're on your way to being her ***** already. Asian girls are power grabbing pros.

Threatening anyone with violence is not cute and just makes her look like a crazy ***** that will come down to your place and stab you to death when you don't text back in an hour.

I personally would ditch her as this screams trouble.

Ask k2d about setting clear expectations.
K2D doesn't do relationships period, he isn't the guy to ask about how to set expectations and parameters in one.
Clueless kid moving to Manila - Never been to Asia before Quote
05-12-2017 , 03:53 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by LonelyBox
Wait till she found that thread like the other guy girl found the Vietnam tft thread lol
You when when she finds this thread right? Do you have a link to the other? I like a good trainwreck.
Clueless kid moving to Manila - Never been to Asia before Quote
05-12-2017 , 03:59 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bluegrassplayer
Asked jspill to escrow since I don't have skill, netteller etc. If it's done by paypal or crypto I'd be happy to

A few clarifications I'd like made since I'm arbitrating: limits need to be agreed upon for what hands can be played at. I don't think it would be a problem but with the way rules are written now it's possible you go on a rush get up enough and then just blind away at 1c 2c for 100 hours, or the opposite could happen: you get the hours in but are down and with a few hours left you jump into 5 10. All hands need to be played at a set limit(s).

For weigh in: you absolutely must eat and drink water and NOT drink any alcohol the day before weigh in. I'd also request that you send another video 2 days after to make sure that your bf% looks about the same.

This is not a 2p2 sanctioned event etc etc.
All hands will be played at the same stake which converted to USD is $0.4 big blind.

Yes I'll eat normally just as I've eaten normally before taking today's video.

Thanks for pointing those things out. If anyone has any other question or would like something clarified please ask.
Clueless kid moving to Manila - Never been to Asia before Quote
05-12-2017 , 04:33 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by LonelyBox
I think you have more chance getting your dick cut than winning that bet babe
+1

Wish OP GL though, seems like a nice guy.

Would ditch girl - too clingy, -ev for bet & dick threats.. nah.
Clueless kid moving to Manila - Never been to Asia before Quote
05-12-2017 , 04:55 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by LonelyBox
I think you have more chance getting your dick cut than winning that bet babe
So either you guys thinking that are missing out on a profitable bet or my chance of getting my dick cut is higher than 14%? 😦
Clueless kid moving to Manila - Never been to Asia before Quote
05-12-2017 , 05:46 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Info Shove
So either you guys thinking that are missing out on a profitable bet or my chance of getting my dick cut is higher than 14%? 😦
given the lack of action so far, you have your answer
plenty of cabbage there in the Phils for her to make sauerkraut with that schwanz of yours when cut off

Prost
Clueless kid moving to Manila - Never been to Asia before Quote
05-12-2017 , 06:24 AM
I doubt anyone is going to take you up on 6 to 1, 3.5 to 1 already has interest and a lurker I know would take action too.
Clueless kid moving to Manila - Never been to Asia before Quote

      
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